State Performance Assessment
U.S. Department of Labor, Employment and Training Administration (ETA)
U.S. Department of Education, Office of Career, Technical, and Adult Education (OCTAE)
U.S. Department of Education, Rehabilitation Services Administration (RSA)
February 26, 2025
South Dakota Performance Results for PY 2023
About
This report is the ETA and RSA assessment of PY 2023 WIOA performance results for South Dakota. Performance is assessed using state negotiated levels of performance, actual levels of performance, actual participant characteristics and economic conditions within a state, and estimates of the statistical adjustment models for PY 2023. Once ETA received PY 2023 participant data, model estimates were used to adjust the PY 2023 negotiated levels of performance. The adjusted levels of performance were then compared against the actual levels of performance of states to get the individual indicator scores and overall indicator and program scores.
Some things to note about this performance assessment:
The Departments of Labor and Education issued a notice indicating which primary indicators of performance will be assessed for PY 2023. The notice was published as Training and Employment Notice (TEN) 04-24, Program Memorandum 24-7, and FAQ 24-02 for each agency.
For PY 2023, the performance indicators being formally assessed are:
- For the WIOA title I and IV Programs (WIOA Adult, WIOA Dislocated
Worker, WIOA Youth, Vocational Rehabilitation):
- Employment Rate 2nd Quarter after Exit
- Median Earnings 2nd Quarter after Exit
- Employment Rate 4th Quarter after Exit
- Credential Attainment Rate
- For the WIOA title III program (Wagner-Peyser Act Employment
Service):
- Employment Rate 2nd Quarter after Exit
- Median Earnings 2nd Quarter after Exit
- Employment Rate 4th Quarter after Exit
- Overall Program Score
- For the WIOA title I and IV Programs (WIOA Adult, WIOA Dislocated
Worker, WIOA Youth, Vocational Rehabilitation):
Overview
The figures here give an overview of the performance results for South Dakota in PY 2023 using the model estimates to get performance scores as discussed in About. The data table shows the summary data related to these figures.
State Performance Scores
The figures below show the performance scores for South Dakota. The color of the state map indicates the performance result for South Dakota (i.e., green for performance success and purple for performance failure). The boxes on the right show the overall state indicator scores and overall state program scores. There is a performance failure if any overall score is below 90%.
The figure below shows the individual indicator scores for each
program. The scores are calculated by dividing the actual level of
performance by the adjusted level of performance (the values used in the
calculation are shown in the box). A failure occurs if an individual
indicator score is below 50%.
State Comparison
The figures below show how South Dakota compared to all other states in PY 2023. Distributions of actual levels of performance for each indicator for all states are on the left and distributions of individual indicator scores for all states are on the right. The flag represents South Dakota’s ranking for each distribution.
Data Table
| Program | Indicator | Negotiated Level | Adjusted Level | Actual Level | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adult | Employment Rate 2nd Quarter after Exit | 70.0% | 73.4% | 71.9% | 97.9% |
| Adult | Median Earnings 2nd Quarter after Exit | $5,500 | $6,808 | $7,091 | 104.1% |
| Adult | Employment Rate 4th Quarter after Exit | 71.0% | 77.6% | 70.3% | 90.5% |
| Adult | Credential Attainment Rate | 60.0% | 61.4% | 61.6% | 100.3% |
| Dislocated Worker | Employment Rate 2nd Quarter after Exit | 71.8% | 69.1% | 78.2% | 113.1% |
| Dislocated Worker | Median Earnings 2nd Quarter after Exit | $7,233 | $8,137 | $9,752 | 119.8% |
| Dislocated Worker | Employment Rate 4th Quarter after Exit | 75.9% | 77.6% | 73.7% | 95% |
| Dislocated Worker | Credential Attainment Rate | 62.0% | 62.1% | 76.5% | 123.1% |
| Youth | Employment Rate 2nd Quarter after Exit | 72.0% | 78.4% | 74.1% | 94.4% |
| Youth | Median Earnings 2nd Quarter after Exit | $3,400 | $4,326 | $4,159 | 96.1% |
| Youth | Employment Rate 4th Quarter after Exit | 71.0% | 80.9% | 75.4% | 93.2% |
| Youth | Credential Attainment Rate | 50.0% | 48.7% | 48.8% | 100.2% |
| Wagner-Peyser | Employment Rate 2nd Quarter after Exit | 65.0% | 72.2% | 70.3% | 97.4% |
| Wagner-Peyser | Median Earnings 2nd Quarter after Exit | $5,200 | $7,385 | $7,006 | 94.8% |
| Wagner-Peyser | Employment Rate 4th Quarter after Exit | 64.1% | 70.9% | 67.8% | 95.6% |
| Wagner-Peyser | Overall Program Score | 95.9% | |||
| Vocational Rehabilitation | Employment Rate 2nd Quarter after Exit | 53.7% | 60.7% | 58.6% | 96.4% |
| Vocational Rehabilitation | Median Earnings 2nd Quarter after Exit | $2,960 | $3,865 | $3,877 | 100.3% |
| Vocational Rehabilitation | Employment Rate 4th Quarter after Exit | 51.2% | 55.3% | 55.1% | 99.6% |
| Vocational Rehabilitation | Credential Attainment Rate | 36.0% | 39.7% | 30.6% | 76.9% |
Adult
This is an overview of the assessment of PY 2023 WIOA performance results for South Dakota in the Adult program. The figure shows the relationship between the negotiated, adjusted, and actual levels of performance. The data table shows the effects of each variable in the statistical adjustment model.
Results
The figures below show details for the two performance indicators being assessed in PY 2023 in the Adult program.
- The negotiated level of performance is the agreed upon target level of performance for PY 2023 prior to the start of PY 2023.
- The adjusted level of performance is the result of re-calculating the negotiated level of performance once PY 2023 ends. It is calculated using model estimates, data on actual program participants in PY 2023, and data on actual economic conditions in which the participants were served.
- The adjustment factor is the total amount that the original negotiated level was adjusted.
- The actual level of performance shows the actual reported performance results for the indicator and includes the individual indicator score (i.e., the actual level divided by the adjusted level).
Model Data Tables
For each indicator, the tables below show the estimates for each of the variables in the statistical adjustment model and the related data points. These data points are used to determine the adjusted level of performance. The definitions are as follows:
- Estimate0 - the pre-PY prediction for PY 2023. It is calculated using the model estimates and pre-PY values for the model variables.
- Estimate1 - the post-PY prediction for PY 2023. It is calculated using the model estimates and actual-PY values for the model variables.
- Coefficient - the effect (or weight) of the variable.
- PY Prior - the actual data for each variable for this state in the last PY prior to negotiations.
- PY Actual - the actual data for each variable for this state in PY 2023.
- Variable Estimate0 - the amount the variable contributed to the pre-PY 2023 predicted target for this indicator as used as a factor in negotiations. It is calculated by multiplying the Coefficient by the PY Prior.
- Variable Estimate1 - the amount the variable contributed to the post-PY 2023 predicted target for this indicator using actual PY 2023 data. It is calculated by multiplying the Coefficient by the PY Actual.
- Adjustment - the amount the variable contributed to the adjustment factor for the indicator. It is calculated by subtracting Variable Estimate0 from Variable Estimate1.
The Adjustment Factor and variable-specific adjustments are color coded to indicate upward adjustments (green) and downward adjustments (red). This color scheme does not indicate performance success or failure.
Performance Indicator:
Employment Rate 2nd Quarter after Exit
| Estimate0 (Pre-PY 2023 Predicted Outcome) | Estimate1 (Post-PY 2023 Predicted Outcome) | Adjustment Factor |
|---|---|---|
| 69.47% | 72.89% | 3.42% |
| Variable Type | Variable | Coefficient | PY Prior | PY Actual | Variable Estimate0 | Variable Estimate1 | Adjustment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Participant Characteristic | Age 25 to 44 | -0.0916 | 0.4038 | 0.4483 | -3.70% | -4.11% | -0.41% |
| Participant Characteristic | Age 45 to 54 | -0.1108 | 0.1700 | 0.1466 | -1.88% | -1.62% | 0.26% |
| Participant Characteristic | Age 55 to 59 | -0.2211 | 0.1109 | 0.0803 | -2.45% | -1.77% | 0.68% |
| Participant Characteristic | Age 60 or more | -0.3412 | 0.1223 | 0.0927 | -4.17% | -3.16% | 1.01% |
| Participant Characteristic | Female | -0.0518 | 0.5738 | 0.5339 | -2.98% | -2.77% | 0.21% |
| Participant Characteristic | Hispanic Ethnicity | -0.0981 | 0.0419 | 0.0706 | -0.41% | -0.69% | -0.28% |
| Participant Characteristic | Individual with a Disability | -0.2415 | 0.2458 | 0.3077 | -5.94% | -7.43% | -1.49% |
| Participant Characteristic | Race: American Indian | -0.0043 | 0.2200 | 0.2128 | -0.09% | -0.09% | 0.00% |
| Participant Characteristic | Race: Asian | 0.2969 | 0.0132 | 0.0189 | 0.39% | 0.56% | 0.17% |
| Participant Characteristic | Race: Black | -0.0521 | 0.0752 | 0.0814 | -0.39% | -0.42% | -0.03% |
| Participant Characteristic | Race: Hawaiian or Pacific Islander | -0.5957 | 0.0011 | 0.0070 | -0.07% | -0.42% | -0.35% |
| Participant Characteristic | Race: Multiple | -0.1515 | 0.0172 | 0.0469 | -0.26% | -0.71% | -0.45% |
| Participant Characteristic | Veteran | -0.2903 | 0.0684 | 0.0560 | -1.98% | -1.63% | 0.36% |
| Participant Characteristic | Highest Grade Completed: Associate Degree | 0.3463 | 0.0942 | 0.0754 | 3.26% | 2.61% | -0.65% |
| Participant Characteristic | Highest Grade Completed: Bachelor Degree | -0.0129 | 0.1246 | 0.1051 | -0.16% | -0.14% | 0.03% |
| Participant Characteristic | Highest Grade Completed: Certificate or Other Post-Secondary Degree | -0.1639 | 0.0270 | 0.0366 | -0.44% | -0.60% | -0.16% |
| Participant Characteristic | Highest Grade Completed: Graduate Degree | 0.1932 | 0.0408 | 0.0323 | 0.79% | 0.62% | -0.16% |
| Participant Characteristic | Highest Grade Completed: High School Equivalency | 0.1104 | 0.3871 | 0.4219 | 4.28% | 4.66% | 0.38% |
| Participant Characteristic | Highest Grade Completed: Some College | -0.0124 | 0.1465 | 0.1218 | -0.18% | -0.15% | 0.03% |
| Participant Characteristic | In School at Program Entry | 0.1055 | 0.0511 | 0.0932 | 0.54% | 0.98% | 0.44% |
| Participant Characteristic | Long-Term Unemployed at Program Entry | 0.0191 | 0.0976 | 0.1730 | 0.19% | 0.33% | 0.14% |
| Participant Characteristic | UI Claimant | 0.0084 | 0.4968 | 0.3200 | 0.42% | 0.27% | -0.15% |
| Participant Characteristic | UI Exhaustee | 0.1765 | 0.0034 | 0.0032 | 0.06% | 0.06% | 0.00% |
| Participant Characteristic | Displaced Homemaker | -0.2881 | 0.0098 | 0.0162 | -0.28% | -0.47% | -0.18% |
| Participant Characteristic | Homeless | -0.0402 | 0.0862 | 0.1288 | -0.35% | -0.52% | -0.17% |
| Participant Characteristic | Individual who was Incarcerated | 0.0682 | 0.2200 | 0.3120 | 1.50% | 2.13% | 0.63% |
| Participant Characteristic | Limited English Proficiency | -0.1229 | 0.0402 | 0.0307 | -0.49% | -0.38% | 0.12% |
| Participant Characteristic | Low Income | -0.0425 | 0.6043 | 0.6703 | -2.57% | -2.85% | -0.28% |
| Participant Characteristic | Single Parent | 0.0662 | 0.2280 | 0.2263 | 1.51% | 1.50% | -0.01% |
| Participant Characteristic | Received Other Public Assistance | 0.0170 | 0.0017 | 0.0135 | 0.00% | 0.02% | 0.02% |
| Participant Characteristic | SSI or SSDI Recipient | 0.0052 | 0.0362 | 0.0383 | 0.02% | 0.02% | 0.00% |
| Participant Characteristic | TANF Recipient | -0.2265 | 0.0953 | 0.0857 | -2.16% | -1.94% | 0.22% |
| Participant Characteristic | Employed at Program Entry | 0.0890 | 0.1252 | 0.2139 | 1.11% | 1.90% | 0.79% |
| Participant Characteristic | Received Wages 2 Quarters Prior to Participation | 0.1797 | 0.7467 | 0.6864 | 13.42% | 12.34% | -1.08% |
| Participant Characteristic | Median Days in Program | 0.0820 | 0.9546 | 0.8874 | 7.83% | 7.28% | -0.55% |
| Economic Condition | Construction Employment | -2.5074 | 0.0568 | 0.0621 | -14.24% | -15.56% | -1.32% |
| Economic Condition | Educational or Health Care Employment | -1.3828 | 0.2559 | 0.2475 | -35.38% | -34.23% | 1.16% |
| Economic Condition | Financial Services Employment | -5.6590 | 0.0684 | 0.0625 | -38.72% | -35.36% | 3.36% |
| Economic Condition | Information Services Employment | 1.2209 | 0.0131 | 0.0118 | 1.60% | 1.44% | -0.15% |
| Economic Condition | Leisure, Hospitality, or Entertainment Employment | -1.0618 | 0.1089 | 0.1148 | -11.56% | -12.18% | -0.62% |
| Economic Condition | Manufacturing Employment | -0.4472 | 0.1045 | 0.1006 | -4.67% | -4.50% | 0.18% |
| Economic Condition | Natural Resources Employment | -1.6068 | 0.0168 | 0.0186 | -2.70% | -3.00% | -0.29% |
| Economic Condition | Other Services Employment | 0.1724 | 0.0265 | 0.0283 | 0.46% | 0.49% | 0.03% |
| Economic Condition | Professional and Business Services Employment | -1.0412 | 0.0806 | 0.0850 | -8.39% | -8.85% | -0.45% |
| Economic Condition | Public Administration | -1.2991 | 0.0644 | 0.0632 | -8.37% | -8.21% | 0.16% |
| Economic Condition | Unemployment Rate Not Seasonally Adjusted | -1.0935 | 0.0409 | 0.0198 | -4.47% | -2.16% | 2.31% |
Median Earnings 2nd Quarter after Exit
| Estimate0 (Pre-PY 2023 Predicted Outcome) | Estimate1 (Post-PY 2023 Predicted Outcome) | Adjustment Factor |
|---|---|---|
| $5,818.56 | $7,126.35 | $1,307.79 |
| Variable Type | Variable | Coefficient | PY Prior | PY Actual | Variable Estimate0 | Variable Estimate1 | Adjustment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Participant Characteristic | Age 25 to 44 | -453.8613 | 0.4209 | 0.4532 | -$191.04 | -$205.68 | -$14.64 |
| Participant Characteristic | Age 45 to 54 | -2184.5363 | 0.1798 | 0.1521 | -$392.73 | -$332.18 | $60.55 |
| Participant Characteristic | Age 55 to 59 | -3244.2870 | 0.1124 | 0.0809 | -$364.53 | -$262.46 | $102.07 |
| Participant Characteristic | Age 60 or more | 4233.8145 | 0.0933 | 0.0682 | $395.20 | $288.60 | -$106.61 |
| Participant Characteristic | Female | -1804.3313 | 0.5644 | 0.5371 | -$1,018.35 | -$969.07 | $49.28 |
| Participant Characteristic | Hispanic Ethnicity | 761.7437 | 0.0484 | 0.0779 | $36.87 | $59.34 | $22.47 |
| Participant Characteristic | Individual with a Disability | -1494.8915 | 0.2273 | 0.2929 | -$339.81 | -$437.83 | -$98.02 |
| Participant Characteristic | Race: American Indian | -1928.7768 | 0.1694 | 0.1715 | -$326.74 | -$330.85 | -$4.11 |
| Participant Characteristic | Race: Asian | 5430.5381 | 0.0147 | 0.0217 | $79.79 | $117.97 | $38.17 |
| Participant Characteristic | Race: Black | -679.7324 | 0.0795 | 0.0824 | -$54.05 | -$56.01 | -$1.96 |
| Participant Characteristic | Race: Hawaiian or Pacific Islander | 6683.2614 | 0.0017 | 0.0060 | $11.55 | $40.05 | $28.50 |
| Participant Characteristic | Race: Multiple | 4701.6769 | 0.0130 | 0.0397 | $60.96 | $186.66 | $125.70 |
| Participant Characteristic | Veteran | 708.2644 | 0.0674 | 0.0532 | $47.75 | $37.67 | -$10.08 |
| Participant Characteristic | Highest Grade Completed: Associate Degree | 680.4938 | 0.0959 | 0.0839 | $65.29 | $57.09 | -$8.19 |
| Participant Characteristic | Highest Grade Completed: Bachelor Degree | 4756.0968 | 0.1392 | 0.1101 | $661.83 | $523.71 | -$138.12 |
| Participant Characteristic | Highest Grade Completed: Certificate or Other Post-Secondary Degree | -1703.7846 | 0.0277 | 0.0427 | -$47.12 | -$72.75 | -$25.62 |
| Participant Characteristic | Highest Grade Completed: Graduate Degree | 10574.0588 | 0.0458 | 0.0330 | $484.38 | $348.51 | -$135.87 |
| Participant Characteristic | Highest Grade Completed: High School Equivalency | 1128.3091 | 0.3794 | 0.4172 | $428.11 | $470.76 | $42.65 |
| Participant Characteristic | Highest Grade Completed: Some College | -1212.6229 | 0.1469 | 0.1213 | -$178.17 | -$147.15 | $31.02 |
| Participant Characteristic | In School at Program Entry | 3399.7735 | 0.0553 | 0.1034 | $188.06 | $351.44 | $163.38 |
| Participant Characteristic | Long-Term Unemployed at Program Entry | 226.8357 | 0.0709 | 0.1423 | $16.08 | $32.28 | $16.21 |
| Participant Characteristic | UI Claimant | 337.0981 | 0.5160 | 0.3333 | $173.94 | $112.37 | -$61.57 |
| Participant Characteristic | UI Exhaustee | -283.8458 | 0.0035 | 0.0022 | -$0.98 | -$0.64 | $0.34 |
| Participant Characteristic | Displaced Homemaker | -5241.2692 | 0.0104 | 0.0150 | -$54.36 | -$78.52 | -$24.16 |
| Participant Characteristic | Homeless | -1120.0702 | 0.0761 | 0.1176 | -$85.19 | -$131.72 | -$46.53 |
| Participant Characteristic | Individual who was Incarcerated | 939.5472 | 0.2161 | 0.2981 | $203.01 | $280.10 | $77.09 |
| Participant Characteristic | Limited English Proficiency | -2012.8718 | 0.0467 | 0.0345 | -$93.95 | -$69.36 | $24.59 |
| Participant Characteristic | Low Income | -497.7419 | 0.5557 | 0.6397 | -$276.62 | -$318.41 | -$41.79 |
| Participant Characteristic | Single Parent | 1922.7722 | 0.2187 | 0.2157 | $420.45 | $414.80 | -$5.65 |
| Participant Characteristic | Received Other Public Assistance | 19.9283 | 0.0017 | 0.0105 | $0.03 | $0.21 | $0.17 |
| Participant Characteristic | SSI or SSDI Recipient | 2929.4203 | 0.0242 | 0.0315 | $70.89 | $92.16 | $21.27 |
| Participant Characteristic | TANF Recipient | -3795.6650 | 0.0769 | 0.0757 | -$291.97 | -$287.16 | $4.81 |
| Participant Characteristic | Employed at Program Entry | 1824.1947 | 0.1556 | 0.2532 | $283.80 | $461.86 | $178.06 |
| Participant Characteristic | Received Wages 2 Quarters Prior to Participation | -334.9180 | 0.7986 | 0.7378 | -$267.47 | -$247.11 | $20.36 |
| Participant Characteristic | Wages 2 Quarters Prior to Participation | 0.2472 | 7233.5151 | 6967.7100 | $1,788.45 | $1,722.73 | -$65.72 |
| Participant Characteristic | Median Days in Program | 2906.7879 | 0.9542 | 0.8794 | $2,773.63 | $2,556.23 | -$217.40 |
| Economic Condition | Construction Employment | 32784.4370 | 0.0568 | 0.0621 | $1,862 | $2,034 | $172.41 |
| Economic Condition | Educational or Health Care Employment | -49154.4403 | 0.2559 | 0.2475 | -$12,577 | -$12,167 | $410.94 |
| Economic Condition | Financial Services Employment | -72346.8956 | 0.0684 | 0.0625 | -$4,950 | -$4,520 | $429.94 |
| Economic Condition | Information Services Employment | -74754.9936 | 0.0131 | 0.0118 | -$979 | -$885 | $94.45 |
| Economic Condition | Leisure, Hospitality, or Entertainment Employment | -60576.3613 | 0.1089 | 0.1148 | -$6,597 | -$6,952 | -$354.34 |
| Economic Condition | Manufacturing Employment | -40689.9551 | 0.1045 | 0.1006 | -$4,253 | -$4,092 | $160.82 |
| Economic Condition | Natural Resources Employment | -40756.3486 | 0.0168 | 0.0186 | -$686 | -$760 | -$73.98 |
| Economic Condition | Other Services Employment | -131145.7580 | 0.0265 | 0.0283 | -$3,472 | -$3,709 | -$237.01 |
| Economic Condition | Professional and Business Services Employment | 38633.3102 | 0.0806 | 0.0850 | $3,114 | $3,282 | $168.17 |
| Economic Condition | Public Administration | -19600.4788 | 0.0644 | 0.0632 | -$1,263 | -$1,239 | $23.86 |
| Economic Condition | Unemployment Rate Not Seasonally Adjusted | -24278.9397 | 0.0409 | 0.0198 | -$992 | -$480 | $511.89 |
Employment Rate 4th Quarter after Exit
| Estimate0 (Pre-PY 2023 Predicted Outcome) | Estimate1 (Post-PY 2023 Predicted Outcome) | Adjustment Factor |
|---|---|---|
| 68.47% | 75.11% | 6.64% |
| Variable Type | Variable | Coefficient | PY Prior | PY Actual | Variable Estimate0 | Variable Estimate1 | Adjustment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Participant Characteristic | Age 25 to 44 | -0.1638 | 0.4076 | 0.4458 | -6.68% | -7.30% | -0.62% |
| Participant Characteristic | Age 45 to 54 | -0.3336 | 0.1656 | 0.1689 | -5.53% | -5.63% | -0.11% |
| Participant Characteristic | Age 55 to 59 | -0.3473 | 0.0998 | 0.0803 | -3.46% | -2.79% | 0.67% |
| Participant Characteristic | Age 60 or more | -0.5539 | 0.1103 | 0.1029 | -6.11% | -5.70% | 0.41% |
| Participant Characteristic | Female | 0.0312 | 0.5905 | 0.5461 | 1.84% | 1.70% | -0.14% |
| Participant Characteristic | Hispanic Ethnicity | -0.1218 | 0.0449 | 0.0706 | -0.55% | -0.86% | -0.31% |
| Participant Characteristic | Individual with a Disability | -0.1650 | 0.2621 | 0.2692 | -4.32% | -4.44% | -0.12% |
| Participant Characteristic | Race: American Indian | -0.0988 | 0.2191 | 0.1996 | -2.16% | -1.97% | 0.19% |
| Participant Characteristic | Race: Asian | -0.1500 | 0.0158 | 0.0205 | -0.24% | -0.31% | -0.07% |
| Participant Characteristic | Race: Black | -0.1126 | 0.0768 | 0.0752 | -0.87% | -0.85% | 0.02% |
| Participant Characteristic | Race: Hawaiian or Pacific Islander | -0.1222 | 0.0010 | 0.0051 | -0.01% | -0.06% | -0.05% |
| Participant Characteristic | Race: Multiple | 0.1034 | 0.0239 | 0.0368 | 0.25% | 0.38% | 0.13% |
| Participant Characteristic | Veteran | -0.2565 | 0.0635 | 0.0578 | -1.63% | -1.48% | 0.15% |
| Participant Characteristic | Highest Grade Completed: Associate Degree | 0.1986 | 0.0945 | 0.0834 | 1.88% | 1.66% | -0.22% |
| Participant Characteristic | Highest Grade Completed: Bachelor Degree | 0.1857 | 0.1146 | 0.1085 | 2.13% | 2.01% | -0.11% |
| Participant Characteristic | Highest Grade Completed: Certificate or Other Post-Secondary Degree | 0.0313 | 0.0282 | 0.0374 | 0.09% | 0.12% | 0.03% |
| Participant Characteristic | Highest Grade Completed: Graduate Degree | 0.2953 | 0.0363 | 0.0374 | 1.07% | 1.10% | 0.03% |
| Participant Characteristic | Highest Grade Completed: High School Equivalency | 0.0848 | 0.3924 | 0.3987 | 3.33% | 3.38% | 0.05% |
| Participant Characteristic | Highest Grade Completed: Some College | 0.0521 | 0.1427 | 0.1372 | 0.74% | 0.71% | -0.03% |
| Participant Characteristic | In School at Program Entry | 0.0694 | 0.0501 | 0.0752 | 0.35% | 0.52% | 0.17% |
| Participant Characteristic | Long-Term Unemployed at Program Entry | 0.0075 | 0.1012 | 0.1489 | 0.08% | 0.11% | 0.04% |
| Participant Characteristic | UI Claimant | 0.0205 | 0.4348 | 0.4007 | 0.89% | 0.82% | -0.07% |
| Participant Characteristic | UI Exhaustee | 0.3795 | 0.0010 | 0.0056 | 0.04% | 0.21% | 0.18% |
| Participant Characteristic | Displaced Homemaker | -0.0959 | 0.0110 | 0.0133 | -0.11% | -0.13% | -0.02% |
| Participant Characteristic | Homeless | -0.1887 | 0.0902 | 0.0931 | -1.70% | -1.76% | -0.06% |
| Participant Characteristic | Individual who was Incarcerated | 0.0545 | 0.2196 | 0.2503 | 1.20% | 1.36% | 0.17% |
| Participant Characteristic | Limited English Proficiency | -0.0554 | 0.0439 | 0.0363 | -0.24% | -0.20% | 0.04% |
| Participant Characteristic | Low Income | -0.0589 | 0.6205 | 0.6182 | -3.66% | -3.64% | 0.01% |
| Participant Characteristic | Single Parent | 0.0465 | 0.2339 | 0.2277 | 1.09% | 1.06% | -0.03% |
| Participant Characteristic | Received Other Public Assistance | -0.0123 | 0.0024 | 0.0154 | 0.00% | -0.02% | -0.02% |
| Participant Characteristic | SSI or SSDI Recipient | -0.1307 | 0.0377 | 0.0435 | -0.49% | -0.57% | -0.08% |
| Participant Characteristic | TANF Recipient | -0.1690 | 0.1021 | 0.0803 | -1.73% | -1.36% | 0.37% |
| Participant Characteristic | Employed at Program Entry | 0.0494 | 0.1518 | 0.1970 | 0.75% | 0.97% | 0.22% |
| Participant Characteristic | Received Wages 2 Quarters Prior to Participation | 0.0971 | 0.7446 | 0.7221 | 7.23% | 7.01% | -0.22% |
| Participant Characteristic | Median Days in Program | 0.0046 | 0.9437 | 0.8557 | 0.43% | 0.39% | -0.04% |
| Economic Condition | Construction Employment | -2.0120 | 0.0568 | 0.0608 | -11.43% | -12.23% | -0.81% |
| Economic Condition | Educational or Health Care Employment | -2.0020 | 0.2559 | 0.2491 | -51.23% | -49.88% | 1.35% |
| Economic Condition | Financial Services Employment | -7.2281 | 0.0684 | 0.0630 | -49.46% | -45.52% | 3.94% |
| Economic Condition | Information Services Employment | -2.5750 | 0.0131 | 0.0120 | -3.37% | -3.08% | 0.29% |
| Economic Condition | Leisure, Hospitality, or Entertainment Employment | -2.4442 | 0.1089 | 0.1139 | -26.62% | -27.83% | -1.22% |
| Economic Condition | Manufacturing Employment | -2.4188 | 0.1045 | 0.1011 | -25.28% | -24.46% | 0.83% |
| Economic Condition | Natural Resources Employment | -4.4073 | 0.0168 | 0.0183 | -7.41% | -8.06% | -0.64% |
| Economic Condition | Other Services Employment | 0.6933 | 0.0265 | 0.0280 | 1.84% | 1.94% | 0.11% |
| Economic Condition | Professional and Business Services Employment | -2.4763 | 0.0806 | 0.0850 | -19.96% | -21.05% | -1.09% |
| Economic Condition | Public Administration | -2.3234 | 0.0644 | 0.0632 | -14.97% | -14.68% | 0.28% |
| Economic Condition | Unemployment Rate Not Seasonally Adjusted | -1.4512 | 0.0409 | 0.0200 | -5.93% | -2.90% | 3.03% |
Credential Attainment Rate
| Estimate0 (Pre-PY 2023 Predicted Outcome) | Estimate1 (Post-PY 2023 Predicted Outcome) | Adjustment Factor |
|---|---|---|
| 59.37% | 60.80% | 1.43% |
| Variable Type | Variable | Coefficient | PY Prior | PY Actual | Variable Estimate0 | Variable Estimate1 | Adjustment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Participant Characteristic | Age 25 to 44 | 0.0849 | 0.2147 | 0.2907 | 1.82% | 2.47% | 0.65% |
| Participant Characteristic | Age 45 to 54 | -0.0030 | 0.0847 | 0.0659 | -0.03% | -0.02% | 0.01% |
| Participant Characteristic | Age 55 to 59 | -0.0307 | 0.0226 | 0.0155 | -0.07% | -0.05% | 0.02% |
| Participant Characteristic | Age 60 or more | -0.1271 | 0.0113 | 0.0078 | -0.14% | -0.10% | 0.05% |
| Participant Characteristic | Female | -0.0458 | 0.5085 | 0.5078 | -2.33% | -2.33% | 0.00% |
| Participant Characteristic | Hispanic Ethnicity | 0.0843 | 0.0565 | 0.1163 | 0.48% | 0.98% | 0.50% |
| Participant Characteristic | Individual with a Disability | -0.1349 | 0.3672 | 0.2558 | -4.95% | -3.45% | 1.50% |
| Participant Characteristic | Race: American Indian | -0.1546 | 0.1921 | 0.2364 | -2.97% | -3.66% | -0.69% |
| Participant Characteristic | Race: Asian | 0.0124 | 0.0395 | 0.0271 | 0.05% | 0.03% | -0.02% |
| Participant Characteristic | Race: Black | -0.0197 | 0.0847 | 0.1085 | -0.17% | -0.21% | -0.05% |
| Participant Characteristic | Race: Hawaiian or Pacific Islander | -0.2464 | 0.0056 | 0.0039 | -0.14% | -0.10% | 0.04% |
| Participant Characteristic | Race: Multiple | -0.0782 | 0.0339 | 0.0736 | -0.27% | -0.58% | -0.31% |
| Participant Characteristic | Veteran | 0.3351 | 0.0226 | 0.0155 | 0.76% | 0.52% | -0.24% |
| Participant Characteristic | Highest Grade Completed: Associate Degree | 0.1144 | 0.0339 | 0.0388 | 0.39% | 0.44% | 0.06% |
| Participant Characteristic | Highest Grade Completed: Bachelor Degree | -0.2091 | 0.0226 | 0.0504 | -0.47% | -1.05% | -0.58% |
| Participant Characteristic | Highest Grade Completed: Certificate or Other Post-Secondary Degree | 0.3367 | 0.0226 | 0.0233 | 0.76% | 0.78% | 0.02% |
| Participant Characteristic | Highest Grade Completed: Graduate Degree | -0.0184 | 0.0113 | 0.0039 | -0.02% | -0.01% | 0.01% |
| Participant Characteristic | Highest Grade Completed: High School Equivalency | 0.0950 | 0.3107 | 0.2519 | 2.95% | 2.39% | -0.56% |
| Participant Characteristic | Highest Grade Completed: Some College | 0.0240 | 0.0791 | 0.0891 | 0.19% | 0.21% | 0.02% |
| Participant Characteristic | In School at Program Entry | 0.1100 | 0.2542 | 0.2287 | 2.80% | 2.52% | -0.28% |
| Participant Characteristic | Long-Term Unemployed at Program Entry | -0.0726 | 0.1582 | 0.1667 | -1.15% | -1.21% | -0.06% |
| Participant Characteristic | UI Claimant | 0.0739 | 0.0734 | 0.1085 | 0.54% | 0.80% | 0.26% |
| Participant Characteristic | UI Exhaustee | -0.0209 | 0.0000 | 0.0039 | 0.00% | -0.01% | -0.01% |
| Participant Characteristic | Displaced Homemaker | -0.3619 | 0.0056 | 0.0039 | -0.20% | -0.14% | 0.06% |
| Participant Characteristic | Homeless | -0.1409 | 0.0847 | 0.0465 | -1.19% | -0.66% | 0.54% |
| Participant Characteristic | Individual who was Incarcerated | 0.0607 | 0.2429 | 0.2752 | 1.47% | 1.67% | 0.20% |
| Participant Characteristic | Limited English Proficiency | -0.0303 | 0.0791 | 0.0349 | -0.24% | -0.11% | 0.13% |
| Participant Characteristic | Low Income | 0.0958 | 0.7684 | 0.7054 | 7.36% | 6.76% | -0.60% |
| Participant Characteristic | Single Parent | -0.1333 | 0.2034 | 0.1860 | -2.71% | -2.48% | 0.23% |
| Participant Characteristic | Received Other Public Assistance | -0.0881 | 0.0000 | 0.0155 | 0.00% | -0.14% | -0.14% |
| Participant Characteristic | SSI or SSDI Recipient | 0.1529 | 0.0226 | 0.0349 | 0.35% | 0.53% | 0.19% |
| Participant Characteristic | TANF Recipient | 0.0199 | 0.0452 | 0.0233 | 0.09% | 0.05% | -0.04% |
| Participant Characteristic | Employed at Program Entry | 0.1094 | 0.3842 | 0.4380 | 4.20% | 4.79% | 0.59% |
| Participant Characteristic | Received Wages 2 Quarters Prior to Participation | -0.0297 | 0.6215 | 0.5814 | -1.85% | -1.73% | 0.12% |
| Participant Characteristic | Median Days in Program | 1.4181 | 0.9944 | 0.9922 | 141.01% | 140.71% | -0.30% |
| Economic Condition | Construction Employment | 0.4366 | 0.0568 | 0.0608 | 2.48% | 2.65% | 0.18% |
| Economic Condition | Educational or Health Care Employment | 0.7163 | 0.2559 | 0.2491 | 18.33% | 17.84% | -0.48% |
| Economic Condition | Financial Services Employment | -1.3701 | 0.0684 | 0.0630 | -9.37% | -8.63% | 0.75% |
| Economic Condition | Information Services Employment | 0.7229 | 0.0131 | 0.0120 | 0.95% | 0.87% | -0.08% |
| Economic Condition | Leisure, Hospitality, or Entertainment Employment | 2.2661 | 0.1089 | 0.1139 | 24.68% | 25.81% | 1.13% |
| Economic Condition | Manufacturing Employment | 6.6072 | 0.1045 | 0.1011 | 69.06% | 66.80% | -2.25% |
| Economic Condition | Natural Resources Employment | 0.1028 | 0.0168 | 0.0183 | 0.17% | 0.19% | 0.02% |
| Economic Condition | Other Services Employment | 3.6876 | 0.0265 | 0.0280 | 9.76% | 10.34% | 0.57% |
| Economic Condition | Professional and Business Services Employment | 2.9218 | 0.0806 | 0.0850 | 23.55% | 24.84% | 1.29% |
| Economic Condition | Public Administration | 5.2258 | 0.0644 | 0.0632 | 33.66% | 33.03% | -0.63% |
| Economic Condition | Unemployment Rate Not Seasonally Adjusted | 0.1819 | 0.0409 | 0.0200 | 0.74% | 0.36% | -0.38% |
Dislocated Worker
This is an overview of the assessment of PY 2023 WIOA performance results for South Dakota in the Dislocated Worker program. The figure shows the relationship between the negotiated, adjusted, and actual levels of performance. The data table shows the effects of each variable in the statistical adjustment model.
Results
The figures below show details for the two performance indicators being assessed in PY 2023 in the Dislocated Worker program.
- The negotiated level of performance is the agreed upon target level of performance for PY 2023 prior to the start of PY 2023.
- The adjusted level of performance is the result of re-calculating the negotiated level of performance once PY 2023 ends. It is calculated using model estimates, data on actual program participants in PY 2023, and data on actual economic conditions in which the participants were served.
- The adjustment factor is the total amount that the original negotiated level was adjusted.
- The actual level of performance shows the actual reported performance results for the indicator and includes the individual indicator score (i.e., the actual level divided by the adjusted level).
Model Data Tables
For each indicator, the tables below show the estimates for each of the variables in the statistical adjustment model and the related actual data. This data is used to determine the adjusted level of performance. The definitions of the table columns are as follows:
- Coefficient - the effect (or weight) of the variable.
- PY Prior - the actual data for each variable for this state in the last PY prior to negotiations.
- PY Actual - the actual data for each variable for this state in PY 2023.
- Estimate0 - the amount the variable contributed to the pre-PY 2023 predicted target for this indicator as used as a factor in negotiations. It is calculated by multiplying the Coefficient by the PY Prior.
- Estimate1 - the amount the variable contributed to the post-PY 2023 predicted target for this indicator using actual PY 2023 data. It is calculated by multiplying the Coefficient by the PY Actual.
- Adjustment - the amount the variable contributed to the adjustment factor for the indicator. It is calculated by subtracting Estimate0 from Estimate1.
Performance Indicator:
Employment Rate 2nd Quarter after Exit
| Estimate0 (Pre-PY 2023 Predicted Outcome) | Estimate1 (Post-PY 2023 Predicted Outcome) | Adjustment Factor |
|---|---|---|
| 73.91% | 71.19% | -2.72% |
| Variable Type | Variable | Coefficient | PY Prior | PY Actual | Variable Estimate0 | Variable Estimate1 | Adjustment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Participant Characteristic | Age 25 to 44 | -0.1142 | 0.3737 | 0.4108 | -4.27% | -4.69% | -0.42% |
| Participant Characteristic | Age 45 to 54 | -0.1378 | 0.2380 | 0.2446 | -3.28% | -3.37% | -0.09% |
| Participant Characteristic | Age 55 to 59 | -0.2592 | 0.1657 | 0.1261 | -4.30% | -3.27% | 1.03% |
| Participant Characteristic | Age 60 or more | -0.1603 | 0.1958 | 0.1550 | -3.14% | -2.48% | 0.65% |
| Participant Characteristic | Female | -0.0185 | 0.5862 | 0.5135 | -1.08% | -0.95% | 0.13% |
| Participant Characteristic | Hispanic Ethnicity | -0.0924 | 0.0222 | 0.0635 | -0.21% | -0.59% | -0.38% |
| Participant Characteristic | Individual with a Disability | -0.1283 | 0.1301 | 0.1793 | -1.67% | -2.30% | -0.63% |
| Participant Characteristic | Race: American Indian | -0.0406 | 0.1557 | 0.1223 | -0.63% | -0.50% | 0.14% |
| Participant Characteristic | Race: Asian | 0.2259 | 0.0056 | 0.0103 | 0.13% | 0.23% | 0.11% |
| Participant Characteristic | Race: Black | -0.0718 | 0.0345 | 0.0476 | -0.25% | -0.34% | -0.09% |
| Participant Characteristic | Race: Hawaiian or Pacific Islander | -0.2289 | 0.0011 | 0.0019 | -0.03% | -0.04% | -0.02% |
| Participant Characteristic | Race: Multiple | -0.1243 | 0.0033 | 0.0084 | -0.04% | -0.10% | -0.06% |
| Participant Characteristic | Veteran | -0.1093 | 0.0690 | 0.0691 | -0.75% | -0.76% | 0.00% |
| Participant Characteristic | Highest Grade Completed: Associate Degree | -0.0222 | 0.1379 | 0.1373 | -0.31% | -0.31% | 0.00% |
| Participant Characteristic | Highest Grade Completed: Bachelor Degree | -0.0587 | 0.2047 | 0.2026 | -1.20% | -1.19% | 0.01% |
| Participant Characteristic | Highest Grade Completed: Certificate or Other Post-Secondary Degree | -0.1658 | 0.0334 | 0.0486 | -0.55% | -0.80% | -0.25% |
| Participant Characteristic | Highest Grade Completed: Graduate Degree | 0.1087 | 0.0723 | 0.0626 | 0.79% | 0.68% | -0.11% |
| Participant Characteristic | Highest Grade Completed: High School Equivalency | 0.0350 | 0.3226 | 0.3109 | 1.13% | 1.09% | -0.04% |
| Participant Characteristic | Highest Grade Completed: Some College | 0.0521 | 0.1758 | 0.1615 | 0.92% | 0.84% | -0.07% |
| Participant Characteristic | In School at Program Entry | -0.0240 | 0.0211 | 0.0280 | -0.05% | -0.07% | -0.02% |
| Participant Characteristic | Long-Term Unemployed at Program Entry | -0.0597 | 0.0078 | 0.0345 | -0.05% | -0.21% | -0.16% |
| Participant Characteristic | UI Claimant | 0.0253 | 0.9544 | 0.9234 | 2.41% | 2.33% | -0.08% |
| Participant Characteristic | UI Exhaustee | 0.0788 | 0.0022 | 0.0019 | 0.02% | 0.01% | 0.00% |
| Participant Characteristic | Displaced Homemaker | -0.1708 | 0.0089 | 0.0121 | -0.15% | -0.21% | -0.06% |
| Participant Characteristic | Homeless | 0.5435 | 0.0200 | 0.0159 | 1.09% | 0.86% | -0.23% |
| Participant Characteristic | Individual who was Incarcerated | -0.2421 | 0.1112 | 0.1335 | -2.69% | -3.23% | -0.54% |
| Participant Characteristic | Limited English Proficiency | -0.1685 | 0.0100 | 0.0215 | -0.17% | -0.36% | -0.19% |
| Participant Characteristic | Low Income | -0.0187 | 0.3560 | 0.3091 | -0.67% | -0.58% | 0.09% |
| Participant Characteristic | Single Parent | 0.1356 | 0.0957 | 0.1074 | 1.30% | 1.46% | 0.16% |
| Participant Characteristic | Received Other Public Assistance | 0.1507 | 0.0000 | 0.0037 | 0.00% | 0.06% | 0.06% |
| Participant Characteristic | SSI or SSDI Recipient | -0.2165 | 0.0145 | 0.0187 | -0.31% | -0.40% | -0.09% |
| Participant Characteristic | TANF Recipient | -0.1095 | 0.0089 | 0.0065 | -0.10% | -0.07% | 0.03% |
| Participant Characteristic | Employed at Program Entry | 0.0223 | 0.0323 | 0.0551 | 0.07% | 0.12% | 0.05% |
| Participant Characteristic | Received Wages 2 Quarters Prior to Participation | -0.0092 | 0.9522 | 0.9300 | -0.87% | -0.85% | 0.02% |
| Participant Characteristic | Median Days in Program | 0.1812 | 0.9533 | 0.8235 | 17.27% | 14.92% | -2.35% |
| Economic Condition | Construction Employment | -1.3771 | 0.0568 | 0.0621 | -7.82% | -8.55% | -0.72% |
| Economic Condition | Educational or Health Care Employment | 0.1971 | 0.2559 | 0.2475 | 5.04% | 4.88% | -0.16% |
| Economic Condition | Financial Services Employment | 2.0094 | 0.0684 | 0.0625 | 13.75% | 12.55% | -1.19% |
| Economic Condition | Information Services Employment | 2.1290 | 0.0131 | 0.0118 | 2.79% | 2.52% | -0.27% |
| Economic Condition | Leisure, Hospitality, or Entertainment Employment | 0.6571 | 0.1089 | 0.1148 | 7.16% | 7.54% | 0.38% |
| Economic Condition | Manufacturing Employment | 1.1360 | 0.1045 | 0.1006 | 11.87% | 11.42% | -0.45% |
| Economic Condition | Natural Resources Employment | 0.2142 | 0.0168 | 0.0186 | 0.36% | 0.40% | 0.04% |
| Economic Condition | Other Services Employment | 1.5959 | 0.0265 | 0.0283 | 4.22% | 4.51% | 0.29% |
| Economic Condition | Professional and Business Services Employment | -0.5435 | 0.0806 | 0.0850 | -4.38% | -4.62% | -0.24% |
| Economic Condition | Public Administration | -0.3599 | 0.0644 | 0.0632 | -2.32% | -2.27% | 0.04% |
| Economic Condition | Unemployment Rate Not Seasonally Adjusted | -1.4118 | 0.0409 | 0.0198 | -5.77% | -2.79% | 2.98% |
Median Earnings 2nd Quarter after Exit
| Estimate0 (Pre-PY 2023 Predicted Outcome) | Estimate1 (Post-PY 2023 Predicted Outcome) | Adjustment Factor |
|---|---|---|
| $8,127.48 | $9,031.80 | $904.32 |
| Variable Type | Variable | Coefficient | PY Prior | PY Actual | Variable Estimate0 | Variable Estimate1 | Adjustment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Participant Characteristic | Age 25 to 44 | -669.4831 | 0.4119 | 0.4229 | -$275.73 | -$283.15 | -$7.42 |
| Participant Characteristic | Age 45 to 54 | -2168.7598 | 0.2516 | 0.2557 | -$545.67 | -$554.50 | -$8.83 |
| Participant Characteristic | Age 55 to 59 | -2432.3578 | 0.1619 | 0.1278 | -$393.70 | -$310.95 | $82.75 |
| Participant Characteristic | Age 60 or more | -4391.0005 | 0.1426 | 0.1207 | -$626.28 | -$529.86 | $96.42 |
| Participant Characteristic | Female | -3040.0629 | 0.5865 | 0.5114 | -$1,783.11 | -$1,554.54 | $228.58 |
| Participant Characteristic | Hispanic Ethnicity | 786.4737 | 0.0224 | 0.0693 | $17.65 | $54.50 | $36.85 |
| Participant Characteristic | Individual with a Disability | -1459.2635 | 0.1218 | 0.1685 | -$177.73 | -$245.83 | -$68.09 |
| Participant Characteristic | Race: American Indian | 132.4831 | 0.1282 | 0.1027 | $16.99 | $13.61 | -$3.37 |
| Participant Characteristic | Race: Asian | 430.6319 | 0.0048 | 0.0119 | $2.07 | $5.14 | $3.07 |
| Participant Characteristic | Race: Black | -985.3137 | 0.0369 | 0.0514 | -$36.32 | -$50.62 | -$14.30 |
| Participant Characteristic | Race: Hawaiian or Pacific Islander | -8491.9766 | 0.0016 | 0.0012 | -$13.61 | -$10.15 | $3.46 |
| Participant Characteristic | Race: Multiple | -4880.1985 | 0.0032 | 0.0060 | -$15.64 | -$29.15 | -$13.51 |
| Participant Characteristic | Veteran | 930.4018 | 0.0641 | 0.0681 | $59.64 | $63.36 | $3.72 |
| Participant Characteristic | Highest Grade Completed: Associate Degree | 2299.8181 | 0.1314 | 0.1422 | $302.22 | $326.98 | $24.76 |
| Participant Characteristic | Highest Grade Completed: Bachelor Degree | 4463.4980 | 0.2228 | 0.2019 | $994.27 | $901.23 | -$93.04 |
| Participant Characteristic | Highest Grade Completed: Certificate or Other Post-Secondary Degree | -2438.7978 | 0.0304 | 0.0526 | -$74.26 | -$128.20 | -$53.95 |
| Participant Characteristic | Highest Grade Completed: Graduate Degree | 5018.6048 | 0.0769 | 0.0597 | $386.05 | $299.80 | -$86.25 |
| Participant Characteristic | Highest Grade Completed: High School Equivalency | 267.0784 | 0.3157 | 0.3142 | $84.32 | $83.92 | -$0.40 |
| Participant Characteristic | Highest Grade Completed: Some College | -735.7917 | 0.1699 | 0.1553 | -$124.99 | -$114.28 | $10.71 |
| Participant Characteristic | In School at Program Entry | 3452.5831 | 0.0256 | 0.0287 | $88.53 | $99.00 | $10.47 |
| Participant Characteristic | Long-Term Unemployed at Program Entry | 2972.2566 | 0.0048 | 0.0263 | $14.29 | $78.12 | $63.83 |
| Participant Characteristic | UI Claimant | -353.6600 | 0.9423 | 0.9295 | -$333.26 | -$328.73 | $4.53 |
| Participant Characteristic | UI Exhaustee | -1444.1354 | 0.0032 | 0.0012 | -$4.63 | -$1.73 | $2.90 |
| Participant Characteristic | Displaced Homemaker | -1640.2075 | 0.0112 | 0.0119 | -$18.40 | -$19.60 | -$1.20 |
| Participant Characteristic | Homeless | -196.3936 | 0.0176 | 0.0096 | -$3.46 | -$1.88 | $1.58 |
| Participant Characteristic | Individual who was Incarcerated | 2427.0871 | 0.1154 | 0.1398 | $280.05 | $339.27 | $59.22 |
| Participant Characteristic | Limited English Proficiency | 560.3127 | 0.0112 | 0.0251 | $6.29 | $14.06 | $7.77 |
| Participant Characteristic | Low Income | -311.9805 | 0.3237 | 0.2915 | -$100.99 | -$90.95 | $10.05 |
| Participant Characteristic | Single Parent | 766.8512 | 0.1074 | 0.1051 | $82.34 | $80.62 | -$1.71 |
| Participant Characteristic | Received Other Public Assistance | 1369.7544 | 0.0000 | 0.0012 | $0.00 | $1.64 | $1.64 |
| Participant Characteristic | SSI or SSDI Recipient | -2279.7341 | 0.0112 | 0.0167 | -$25.57 | -$38.13 | -$12.56 |
| Participant Characteristic | TANF Recipient | -1314.6318 | 0.0096 | 0.0072 | -$12.64 | -$9.42 | $3.22 |
| Participant Characteristic | Employed at Program Entry | 718.7948 | 0.0433 | 0.0645 | $31.10 | $46.37 | $15.27 |
| Participant Characteristic | Received Wages 2 Quarters Prior to Participation | 584.5785 | 0.9615 | 0.9474 | $562.09 | $553.85 | -$8.25 |
| Participant Characteristic | Wages 2 Quarters Prior to Participation | 0.1905 | 9241.8550 | 11045.6300 | $1,760.49 | $2,104.10 | $343.60 |
| Participant Characteristic | Median Days in Program | 1912.5855 | 0.9439 | 0.8065 | $1,805.31 | $1,542.41 | -$262.90 |
| Economic Condition | Construction Employment | 91527.4928 | 0.0568 | 0.0621 | $5,198.24 | $5,679.58 | $481.33 |
| Economic Condition | Educational or Health Care Employment | 3536.1733 | 0.2559 | 0.2475 | $904.82 | $875.26 | -$29.56 |
| Economic Condition | Financial Services Employment | 44357.8941 | 0.0684 | 0.0625 | $3,035.09 | $2,771.49 | -$263.61 |
| Economic Condition | Information Services Employment | 32541.4663 | 0.0131 | 0.0118 | $426.19 | $385.07 | -$41.12 |
| Economic Condition | Leisure, Hospitality, or Entertainment Employment | 2898.8394 | 0.1089 | 0.1148 | $315.70 | $332.66 | $16.96 |
| Economic Condition | Manufacturing Employment | 36389.9661 | 0.1045 | 0.1006 | $3,803.48 | $3,659.65 | -$143.83 |
| Economic Condition | Natural Resources Employment | -37174.8716 | 0.0168 | 0.0186 | -$625.43 | -$692.91 | -$67.48 |
| Economic Condition | Other Services Employment | -120482.1846 | 0.0265 | 0.0283 | -$3,189.57 | -$3,407.31 | -$217.74 |
| Economic Condition | Professional and Business Services Employment | 95546.1420 | 0.0806 | 0.0850 | $7,701.80 | $8,117.72 | $415.92 |
| Economic Condition | Public Administration | 44601.3556 | 0.0644 | 0.0632 | $2,872.92 | $2,818.63 | -$54.29 |
| Economic Condition | Unemployment Rate Not Seasonally Adjusted | -20351.8033 | 0.0409 | 0.0198 | -$831.54 | -$402.45 | $429.09 |
Employment Rate 4th Quarter after Exit
| Estimate0 (Pre-PY 2023 Predicted Outcome) | Estimate1 (Post-PY 2023 Predicted Outcome) | Adjustment Factor |
|---|---|---|
| 73.86% | 75.58% | 1.72% |
| Variable Type | Variable | Coefficient | PY Prior | PY Actual | Variable Estimate0 | Variable Estimate1 | Adjustment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Participant Characteristic | Age 25 to 44 | -0.2172 | 0.3779 | 0.4260 | -8.21% | -9.25% | -1.04% |
| Participant Characteristic | Age 45 to 54 | -0.3711 | 0.2527 | 0.2446 | -9.38% | -9.08% | 0.30% |
| Participant Characteristic | Age 55 to 59 | -0.2895 | 0.1606 | 0.1229 | -4.65% | -3.56% | 1.09% |
| Participant Characteristic | Age 60 or more | -0.3989 | 0.1863 | 0.1575 | -7.43% | -6.28% | 1.15% |
| Participant Characteristic | Female | 0.0021 | 0.5771 | 0.5370 | 0.12% | 0.11% | -0.01% |
| Participant Characteristic | Hispanic Ethnicity | 0.0515 | 0.0310 | 0.0346 | 0.16% | 0.18% | 0.02% |
| Participant Characteristic | Individual with a Disability | -0.0157 | 0.1306 | 0.1754 | -0.21% | -0.28% | -0.07% |
| Participant Characteristic | Race: American Indian | 0.1374 | 0.1403 | 0.1265 | 1.93% | 1.74% | -0.19% |
| Participant Characteristic | Race: Asian | 0.4332 | 0.0075 | 0.0143 | 0.32% | 0.62% | 0.30% |
| Participant Characteristic | Race: Black | -0.1036 | 0.0364 | 0.0430 | -0.38% | -0.44% | -0.07% |
| Participant Characteristic | Race: Hawaiian or Pacific Islander | 0.1496 | 0.0000 | 0.0048 | 0.00% | 0.07% | 0.07% |
| Participant Characteristic | Race: Multiple | 0.2035 | 0.0075 | 0.0119 | 0.15% | 0.24% | 0.09% |
| Participant Characteristic | Veteran | -0.0450 | 0.0653 | 0.0704 | -0.29% | -0.32% | -0.02% |
| Participant Characteristic | Highest Grade Completed: Associate Degree | -0.1437 | 0.1370 | 0.1325 | -1.97% | -1.90% | 0.07% |
| Participant Characteristic | Highest Grade Completed: Bachelor Degree | 0.0411 | 0.2034 | 0.1933 | 0.84% | 0.80% | -0.04% |
| Participant Characteristic | Highest Grade Completed: Certificate or Other Post-Secondary Degree | -0.2352 | 0.0385 | 0.0501 | -0.91% | -1.18% | -0.27% |
| Participant Characteristic | Highest Grade Completed: Graduate Degree | -0.0740 | 0.0696 | 0.0728 | -0.52% | -0.54% | -0.02% |
| Participant Characteristic | Highest Grade Completed: High School Equivalency | 0.0209 | 0.3276 | 0.3091 | 0.69% | 0.65% | -0.04% |
| Participant Characteristic | Highest Grade Completed: Some College | -0.0101 | 0.1617 | 0.1695 | -0.16% | -0.17% | -0.01% |
| Participant Characteristic | In School at Program Entry | 0.0799 | 0.0236 | 0.0227 | 0.19% | 0.18% | -0.01% |
| Participant Characteristic | Long-Term Unemployed at Program Entry | -0.0246 | 0.0182 | 0.0513 | -0.04% | -0.13% | -0.08% |
| Participant Characteristic | UI Claimant | 0.0317 | 0.9261 | 0.8914 | 2.94% | 2.83% | -0.11% |
| Participant Characteristic | UI Exhaustee | 0.1003 | 0.0043 | 0.0048 | 0.04% | 0.05% | 0.00% |
| Participant Characteristic | Displaced Homemaker | 0.0252 | 0.0064 | 0.0155 | 0.02% | 0.04% | 0.02% |
| Participant Characteristic | Homeless | 0.0672 | 0.0161 | 0.0251 | 0.11% | 0.17% | 0.06% |
| Participant Characteristic | Individual who was Incarcerated | -0.0742 | 0.0889 | 0.1086 | -0.66% | -0.81% | -0.15% |
| Participant Characteristic | Limited English Proficiency | -0.1198 | 0.0118 | 0.0119 | -0.14% | -0.14% | 0.00% |
| Participant Characteristic | Low Income | -0.0413 | 0.3308 | 0.3628 | -1.37% | -1.50% | -0.13% |
| Participant Characteristic | Single Parent | 0.0152 | 0.0985 | 0.1348 | 0.15% | 0.21% | 0.06% |
| Participant Characteristic | Received Other Public Assistance | 0.0789 | 0.0011 | 0.0048 | 0.01% | 0.04% | 0.03% |
| Participant Characteristic | SSI or SSDI Recipient | 0.1014 | 0.0128 | 0.0215 | 0.13% | 0.22% | 0.09% |
| Participant Characteristic | TANF Recipient | -0.0153 | 0.0064 | 0.0131 | -0.01% | -0.02% | -0.01% |
| Participant Characteristic | Employed at Program Entry | 0.0935 | 0.0460 | 0.0716 | 0.43% | 0.67% | 0.24% |
| Participant Characteristic | Received Wages 2 Quarters Prior to Participation | 0.0505 | 0.9518 | 0.9189 | 4.81% | 4.64% | -0.17% |
| Participant Characteristic | Median Days in Program | 0.1442 | 0.9550 | 0.7697 | 13.78% | 11.10% | -2.67% |
| Economic Condition | Construction Employment | -1.3549 | 0.0568 | 0.0608 | -7.69% | -8.24% | -0.54% |
| Economic Condition | Educational or Health Care Employment | -0.7764 | 0.2559 | 0.2491 | -19.87% | -19.34% | 0.52% |
| Economic Condition | Financial Services Employment | -1.1813 | 0.0684 | 0.0630 | -8.08% | -7.44% | 0.64% |
| Economic Condition | Information Services Employment | -2.1141 | 0.0131 | 0.0120 | -2.77% | -2.53% | 0.24% |
| Economic Condition | Leisure, Hospitality, or Entertainment Employment | -0.3033 | 0.1089 | 0.1139 | -3.30% | -3.45% | -0.15% |
| Economic Condition | Manufacturing Employment | 1.2035 | 0.1045 | 0.1011 | 12.58% | 12.17% | -0.41% |
| Economic Condition | Natural Resources Employment | -0.2825 | 0.0168 | 0.0183 | -0.48% | -0.52% | -0.04% |
| Economic Condition | Other Services Employment | 2.9877 | 0.0265 | 0.0280 | 7.91% | 8.37% | 0.46% |
| Economic Condition | Professional and Business Services Employment | -0.4906 | 0.0806 | 0.0850 | -3.95% | -4.17% | -0.22% |
| Economic Condition | Public Administration | -0.2395 | 0.0644 | 0.0632 | -1.54% | -1.51% | 0.03% |
| Economic Condition | Unemployment Rate Not Seasonally Adjusted | -1.3059 | 0.0409 | 0.0200 | -5.34% | -2.61% | 2.72% |
Credential Attainment Rate
| Estimate0 (Pre-PY 2023 Predicted Outcome) | Estimate1 (Post-PY 2023 Predicted Outcome) | Adjustment Factor |
|---|---|---|
| 62.66% | 62.74% | 0.08% |
| Variable Type | Variable | Coefficient | PY Prior | PY Actual | Variable Estimate0 | Variable Estimate1 | Adjustment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Participant Characteristic | Age 25 to 44 | 0.0209 | 0.4286 | 0.4706 | 0.89% | 0.98% | 0.09% |
| Participant Characteristic | Age 45 to 54 | 0.1759 | 0.4286 | 0.3235 | 7.54% | 5.69% | -1.85% |
| Participant Characteristic | Age 55 to 59 | 0.1035 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Participant Characteristic | Age 60 or more | 0.0336 | 0.0476 | 0.0588 | 0.16% | 0.20% | 0.04% |
| Participant Characteristic | Female | -0.0886 | 0.7143 | 0.5588 | -6.33% | -4.95% | 1.38% |
| Participant Characteristic | Hispanic Ethnicity | -0.0316 | 0.0952 | 0.0588 | -0.30% | -0.19% | 0.12% |
| Participant Characteristic | Individual with a Disability | -0.1937 | 0.1905 | 0.1765 | -3.69% | -3.42% | 0.27% |
| Participant Characteristic | Race: American Indian | -0.0643 | 0.0476 | 0.0588 | -0.31% | -0.38% | -0.07% |
| Participant Characteristic | Race: Asian | -0.3001 | 0.0476 | 0.0294 | -1.43% | -0.88% | 0.55% |
| Participant Characteristic | Race: Black | 0.0180 | 0.0000 | 0.0882 | 0.00% | 0.16% | 0.16% |
| Participant Characteristic | Race: Hawaiian or Pacific Islander | 0.1855 | 0.0000 | 0.0294 | 0.00% | 0.55% | 0.55% |
| Participant Characteristic | Race: Multiple | 0.1423 | 0.0000 | 0.0294 | 0.00% | 0.42% | 0.42% |
| Participant Characteristic | Veteran | 0.0335 | 0.0000 | 0.0294 | 0.00% | 0.10% | 0.10% |
| Participant Characteristic | Highest Grade Completed: Associate Degree | 0.1235 | 0.0476 | 0.0882 | 0.59% | 1.09% | 0.50% |
| Participant Characteristic | Highest Grade Completed: Bachelor Degree | -0.0768 | 0.0952 | 0.2059 | -0.73% | -1.58% | -0.85% |
| Participant Characteristic | Highest Grade Completed: Certificate or Other Post-Secondary Degree | 0.2787 | 0.0476 | 0.0294 | 1.33% | 0.82% | -0.51% |
| Participant Characteristic | Highest Grade Completed: Graduate Degree | -0.0955 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Participant Characteristic | Highest Grade Completed: High School Equivalency | 0.0557 | 0.2857 | 0.3824 | 1.59% | 2.13% | 0.54% |
| Participant Characteristic | Highest Grade Completed: Some College | -0.0626 | 0.0952 | 0.1765 | -0.60% | -1.11% | -0.51% |
| Participant Characteristic | In School at Program Entry | -0.0044 | 0.1429 | 0.0882 | -0.06% | -0.04% | 0.02% |
| Participant Characteristic | Long-Term Unemployed at Program Entry | -0.0665 | 0.0000 | 0.0882 | 0.00% | -0.59% | -0.59% |
| Participant Characteristic | UI Claimant | 0.0765 | 0.4286 | 0.6765 | 3.28% | 5.18% | 1.90% |
| Participant Characteristic | UI Exhaustee | 0.0267 | 0.1429 | 0.0294 | 0.38% | 0.08% | -0.30% |
| Participant Characteristic | Displaced Homemaker | 0.2365 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Participant Characteristic | Homeless | -0.2716 | 0.0000 | 0.0294 | 0.00% | -0.80% | -0.80% |
| Participant Characteristic | Individual who was Incarcerated | -0.0258 | 0.2857 | 0.1176 | -0.74% | -0.30% | 0.43% |
| Participant Characteristic | Limited English Proficiency | 0.1740 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Participant Characteristic | Low Income | -0.0394 | 0.3333 | 0.3824 | -1.31% | -1.51% | -0.19% |
| Participant Characteristic | Single Parent | -0.1201 | 0.0000 | 0.1765 | 0.00% | -2.12% | -2.12% |
| Participant Characteristic | Received Other Public Assistance | -0.0751 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Participant Characteristic | SSI or SSDI Recipient | 0.7290 | 0.0000 | 0.0294 | 0.00% | 2.14% | 2.14% |
| Participant Characteristic | TANF Recipient | -0.6104 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Participant Characteristic | Employed at Program Entry | 0.1578 | 0.2381 | 0.1176 | 3.76% | 1.86% | -1.90% |
| Participant Characteristic | Received Wages 2 Quarters Prior to Participation | -0.0385 | 0.9524 | 0.8529 | -3.67% | -3.28% | 0.38% |
| Participant Characteristic | Median Days in Program | 3.2870 | 1.0000 | 1.0000 | 328.70% | 328.70% | 0.00% |
| Economic Condition | Construction Employment | -3.8580 | 0.0568 | 0.0608 | -21.91% | -23.46% | -1.55% |
| Economic Condition | Educational or Health Care Employment | 0.9279 | 0.2559 | 0.2491 | 23.74% | 23.12% | -0.63% |
| Economic Condition | Financial Services Employment | 0.1904 | 0.0684 | 0.0630 | 1.30% | 1.20% | -0.10% |
| Economic Condition | Information Services Employment | -8.2316 | 0.0131 | 0.0120 | -10.78% | -9.85% | 0.93% |
| Economic Condition | Leisure, Hospitality, or Entertainment Employment | -1.8087 | 0.1089 | 0.1139 | -19.70% | -20.60% | -0.90% |
| Economic Condition | Manufacturing Employment | 3.0781 | 0.1045 | 0.1011 | 32.17% | 31.12% | -1.05% |
| Economic Condition | Natural Resources Employment | -4.8983 | 0.0168 | 0.0183 | -8.24% | -8.96% | -0.72% |
| Economic Condition | Other Services Employment | 7.6923 | 0.0265 | 0.0280 | 20.36% | 21.56% | 1.20% |
| Economic Condition | Professional and Business Services Employment | 3.8584 | 0.0806 | 0.0850 | 31.10% | 32.80% | 1.70% |
| Economic Condition | Public Administration | 6.3897 | 0.0644 | 0.0632 | 41.16% | 40.38% | -0.77% |
| Economic Condition | Unemployment Rate Not Seasonally Adjusted | -0.9948 | 0.0409 | 0.0200 | -4.06% | -1.99% | 2.08% |
Youth
This is an overview of the assessment of PY 2023 WIOA performance results for South Dakota in the Youth program. The figure shows the relationship between the negotiated, adjusted, and actual levels of performance. The data table shows the effects of each variable in the statistical adjustment model.
Results
The figures below show details for the two performance indicators being assessed in PY 2023 in the Youth program.
- The negotiated level of performance is the agreed upon target level of performance for PY 2023 prior to the start of PY 2023.
- The adjusted level of performance is the result of re-calculating the negotiated level of performance once PY 2023 ends. It is calculated using model estimates, data on actual program participants in PY 2023, and data on actual economic conditions in which the participants were served.
- The adjustment factor is the total amount that the original negotiated level was adjusted.
- The actual level of performance shows the actual reported performance results for the indicator and includes the individual indicator score (i.e., the actual level divided by the adjusted level).
Model Data Tables
For each indicator, the tables below show the estimates for each of the variables in the statistical adjustment model and the related actual data. This data is used to determine the adjusted level of performance. The definitions of the table columns are as follows:
- Coefficient - the effect (or weight) of the variable.
- PY Prior - the actual data for each variable for this state in the last PY prior to negotiations.
- PY Actual - the actual data for each variable for this state in PY 2023.
- Estimate0 - the amount the variable contributed to the pre-PY 2023 predicted target for this indicator as used as a factor in negotiations. It is calculated by multiplying the Coefficient by the PY Prior.
- Estimate1 - the amount the variable contributed to the post-PY 2023 predicted target for this indicator using actual PY 2023 data. It is calculated by multiplying the Coefficient by the PY Actual.
- Adjustment - the amount the variable contributed to the adjustment factor for the indicator. It is calculated by subtracting Estimate0 from Estimate1.
Performance Indicator:
Employment Rate 2nd Quarter after Exit
| Estimate0 (Pre-PY 2023 Predicted Outcome) | Estimate1 (Post-PY 2023 Predicted Outcome) | Adjustment Factor |
|---|---|---|
| 70.27% | 76.68% | 6.41% |
| Variable Type | Variable | Coefficient | PY Prior | PY Actual | Variable Estimate0 | Variable Estimate1 | Adjustment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Participant Characteristic | Age 14 to 15 | 0.0111 | 0.0082 | 0.0255 | 0.01% | 0.03% | 0.02% |
| Participant Characteristic | Age 16 to 17 | -0.1800 | 0.1676 | 0.2442 | -3.02% | -4.39% | -1.38% |
| Participant Characteristic | Age 18 to 19 | -0.1708 | 0.3846 | 0.3631 | -6.57% | -6.20% | 0.37% |
| Participant Characteristic | Age 20 to 21 | -0.3168 | 0.2005 | 0.1847 | -6.35% | -5.85% | 0.50% |
| Participant Characteristic | Female | -0.1078 | 0.5082 | 0.5244 | -5.48% | -5.65% | -0.17% |
| Participant Characteristic | Hispanic Ethnicity | -0.0859 | 0.0714 | 0.1231 | -0.61% | -1.06% | -0.44% |
| Participant Characteristic | Individual with a Disability | -0.1219 | 0.4505 | 0.4883 | -5.49% | -5.95% | -0.46% |
| Participant Characteristic | Race: American Indian | -0.2840 | 0.2555 | 0.2887 | -7.26% | -8.20% | -0.94% |
| Participant Characteristic | Race: Asian | 0.1257 | 0.0467 | 0.0531 | 0.59% | 0.67% | 0.08% |
| Participant Characteristic | Race: Black | -0.0670 | 0.0907 | 0.0658 | -0.61% | -0.44% | 0.17% |
| Participant Characteristic | Race: Hawaiian or Pacific Islander | 0.2039 | 0.0000 | 0.0127 | 0.00% | 0.26% | 0.26% |
| Participant Characteristic | Race: Multiple | -0.0752 | 0.0440 | 0.0807 | -0.33% | -0.61% | -0.28% |
| Participant Characteristic | Highest Grade Completed: Associate or Bachelor Degree | 0.2237 | 0.0220 | 0.0127 | 0.49% | 0.28% | -0.21% |
| Participant Characteristic | Highest Grade Completed: Certificate or Other Post-Secondary Degree | -0.0828 | 0.0000 | 0.0042 | 0.00% | -0.04% | -0.04% |
| Participant Characteristic | Highest Grade Completed: High School Equivalency | 0.1683 | 0.3544 | 0.2824 | 5.97% | 4.75% | -1.21% |
| Participant Characteristic | Highest Grade Completed: Some College | 0.0292 | 0.0549 | 0.0212 | 0.16% | 0.06% | -0.10% |
| Participant Characteristic | In School at Program Entry | 0.1190 | 0.2390 | 0.3588 | 2.84% | 4.27% | 1.43% |
| Participant Characteristic | Long-Term Unemployed at Program Entry | -0.0256 | 0.1978 | 0.1911 | -0.51% | -0.49% | 0.02% |
| Participant Characteristic | UI Claimant | 0.1313 | 0.0247 | 0.0318 | 0.32% | 0.42% | 0.09% |
| Participant Characteristic | Foster Care Youth | -0.1268 | 0.0495 | 0.0382 | -0.63% | -0.48% | 0.14% |
| Participant Characteristic | Homeless | 0.1341 | 0.1456 | 0.0849 | 1.95% | 1.14% | -0.81% |
| Participant Characteristic | Individual who was Incarcerated | -0.0745 | 0.2473 | 0.2420 | -1.84% | -1.80% | 0.04% |
| Participant Characteristic | Limited English Proficiency | -0.1556 | 0.0797 | 0.0573 | -1.24% | -0.89% | 0.35% |
| Participant Characteristic | Low Income | -0.0216 | 0.8929 | 0.8599 | -1.93% | -1.86% | 0.07% |
| Participant Characteristic | Skills/Literacy Deficient at Program Entry | 0.0678 | 0.5742 | 0.5987 | 3.89% | 4.06% | 0.17% |
| Participant Characteristic | Youth Needing Additional Assistance | -0.0178 | 0.2885 | 0.1550 | -0.51% | -0.28% | 0.24% |
| Participant Characteristic | Youth Parent or Pregnant Youth | 0.0798 | 0.1896 | 0.1231 | 1.51% | 0.98% | -0.53% |
| Participant Characteristic | Received Other Public Assistance | 0.0468 | 0.0000 | 0.0064 | 0.00% | 0.03% | 0.03% |
| Participant Characteristic | SSI or SSDI Recipient | 0.0161 | 0.0467 | 0.0297 | 0.08% | 0.05% | -0.03% |
| Participant Characteristic | TANF Recipient | 0.0750 | 0.0852 | 0.0276 | 0.64% | 0.21% | -0.43% |
| Participant Characteristic | Employed at Program Entry | 0.2535 | 0.2225 | 0.3992 | 5.64% | 10.12% | 4.48% |
| Participant Characteristic | Median Days in Program | 0.0672 | 0.9890 | 0.9660 | 6.65% | 6.49% | -0.15% |
| Economic Condition | Construction Employment | 1.1145 | 0.0568 | 0.0621 | 6.33% | 6.92% | 0.59% |
| Economic Condition | Educational or Health Care Employment | -2.2484 | 0.2559 | 0.2475 | -57.53% | -55.65% | 1.88% |
| Economic Condition | Financial Services Employment | -3.8337 | 0.0684 | 0.0625 | -26.23% | -23.95% | 2.28% |
| Economic Condition | Information Services Employment | 1.1725 | 0.0131 | 0.0118 | 1.54% | 1.39% | -0.15% |
| Economic Condition | Leisure, Hospitality, or Entertainment Employment | -1.8787 | 0.1089 | 0.1148 | -20.46% | -21.56% | -1.10% |
| Economic Condition | Manufacturing Employment | -1.1344 | 0.1045 | 0.1006 | -11.86% | -11.41% | 0.45% |
| Economic Condition | Natural Resources Employment | -3.5919 | 0.0168 | 0.0186 | -6.04% | -6.70% | -0.65% |
| Economic Condition | Other Services Employment | -0.3938 | 0.0265 | 0.0283 | -1.04% | -1.11% | -0.07% |
| Economic Condition | Professional and Business Services Employment | -1.3841 | 0.0806 | 0.0850 | -11.16% | -11.76% | -0.60% |
| Economic Condition | Public Administration | 0.1210 | 0.0644 | 0.0632 | 0.78% | 0.76% | -0.01% |
| Economic Condition | Unemployment Rate Not Seasonally Adjusted | -1.2110 | 0.0409 | 0.0198 | -4.95% | -2.39% | 2.55% |
Median Earnings 2nd Quarter after Exit
| Estimate0 (Pre-PY 2023 Predicted Outcome) | Estimate1 (Post-PY 2023 Predicted Outcome) | Adjustment Factor |
|---|---|---|
| $3,216.39 | $4,142.55 | $926.16 |
| Variable Type | Variable | Coefficient | PY Prior | PY Actual | Variable Estimate0 | Variable Estimate1 | Adjustment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Participant Characteristic | Age 14 to 15 | -2487.8313 | 0.0041 | 0.0229 | -$10.24 | -$57.03 | -$46.79 |
| Participant Characteristic | Age 16 to 17 | -2682.4656 | 0.1687 | 0.2235 | -$452.60 | -$599.52 | -$146.92 |
| Participant Characteristic | Age 18 to 19 | -2850.2364 | 0.3909 | 0.3610 | -$1,114.29 | -$1,029.03 | $85.26 |
| Participant Characteristic | Age 20 to 21 | -142.9283 | 0.2305 | 0.1977 | -$32.94 | -$28.26 | $4.68 |
| Participant Characteristic | Female | -669.1702 | 0.5309 | 0.5215 | -$355.24 | -$348.97 | $6.27 |
| Participant Characteristic | Hispanic Ethnicity | 488.8171 | 0.0782 | 0.1318 | $38.22 | $64.43 | $26.21 |
| Participant Characteristic | Individual with a Disability | 259.1464 | 0.4609 | 0.4728 | $119.44 | $122.52 | $3.08 |
| Participant Characteristic | Race: American Indian | -1193.2430 | 0.1975 | 0.2521 | -$235.70 | -$300.88 | -$65.17 |
| Participant Characteristic | Race: Asian | -33.5217 | 0.0494 | 0.0516 | -$1.66 | -$1.73 | -$0.07 |
| Participant Characteristic | Race: Black | -1515.1308 | 0.0905 | 0.0630 | -$137.17 | -$95.51 | $41.66 |
| Participant Characteristic | Race: Hawaiian or Pacific Islander | -1998.7258 | 0.0000 | 0.0057 | $0.00 | -$11.45 | -$11.45 |
| Participant Characteristic | Race: Multiple | 1470.8202 | 0.0329 | 0.0774 | $48.42 | $113.79 | $65.37 |
| Participant Characteristic | Highest Grade Completed: Associate or Bachelor Degree | 1041.5649 | 0.0247 | 0.0143 | $25.72 | $14.92 | -$10.80 |
| Participant Characteristic | Highest Grade Completed: Certificate or Other Post-Secondary Degree | 442.8856 | 0.0000 | 0.0057 | $0.00 | $2.54 | $2.54 |
| Participant Characteristic | Highest Grade Completed: High School Equivalency | 1436.6773 | 0.3498 | 0.3266 | $502.54 | $469.29 | -$33.25 |
| Participant Characteristic | Highest Grade Completed: Some College | 173.2340 | 0.0658 | 0.0229 | $11.41 | $3.97 | -$7.44 |
| Participant Characteristic | In School at Program Entry | 379.6403 | 0.2510 | 0.3438 | $95.30 | $130.54 | $35.23 |
| Participant Characteristic | Long-Term Unemployed at Program Entry | 175.0009 | 0.1852 | 0.1719 | $32.41 | $30.09 | -$2.32 |
| Participant Characteristic | UI Claimant | -489.6866 | 0.0165 | 0.0344 | -$8.06 | -$16.84 | -$8.78 |
| Participant Characteristic | Foster Care Youth | -2177.2726 | 0.0453 | 0.0401 | -$98.56 | -$87.34 | $11.22 |
| Participant Characteristic | Homeless | -555.2746 | 0.1317 | 0.0917 | -$73.12 | -$50.91 | $22.21 |
| Participant Characteristic | Individual who was Incarcerated | -1237.0962 | 0.2387 | 0.2521 | -$295.27 | -$311.93 | -$16.66 |
| Participant Characteristic | Limited English Proficiency | -272.0858 | 0.0988 | 0.0602 | -$26.87 | -$16.37 | $10.50 |
| Participant Characteristic | Low Income | 245.2176 | 0.8683 | 0.8424 | $212.93 | $206.57 | -$6.35 |
| Participant Characteristic | Skills/Literacy Deficient at Program Entry | 80.8464 | 0.5679 | 0.5903 | $45.91 | $47.72 | $1.81 |
| Participant Characteristic | Youth Needing Additional Assistance | 258.0680 | 0.2798 | 0.1433 | $72.22 | $36.97 | -$35.24 |
| Participant Characteristic | Youth Parent or Pregnant Youth | -1275.6766 | 0.1770 | 0.1175 | -$225.74 | -$149.86 | $75.87 |
| Participant Characteristic | Received Other Public Assistance | -274.2386 | 0.0000 | 0.0057 | $0.00 | -$1.57 | -$1.57 |
| Participant Characteristic | SSI or SSDI Recipient | -2762.8591 | 0.0494 | 0.0201 | -$136.44 | -$55.42 | $81.02 |
| Participant Characteristic | TANF Recipient | -56.4900 | 0.0617 | 0.0229 | -$3.49 | -$1.29 | $2.19 |
| Participant Characteristic | Employed at Program Entry | 1531.2146 | 0.2798 | 0.4613 | $428.49 | $706.38 | $277.89 |
| Participant Characteristic | Wages 2 Quarters Prior to Participation | 0.0907 | 1936.7500 | 2500.0750 | $175.73 | $226.85 | $51.11 |
| Participant Characteristic | Median Days in Program | 377.3283 | 0.9918 | 0.9656 | $374.22 | $364.35 | -$9.87 |
| Economic Condition | Construction Employment | 31273.1384 | 0.0568 | 0.0621 | $1,776.14 | $1,940.60 | $164.46 |
| Economic Condition | Educational or Health Care Employment | -18195.1139 | 0.2559 | 0.2475 | -$4,655.70 | -$4,503.59 | $152.12 |
| Economic Condition | Financial Services Employment | 5494.2389 | 0.0684 | 0.0625 | $375.93 | $343.28 | -$32.65 |
| Economic Condition | Information Services Employment | 7597.9988 | 0.0131 | 0.0118 | $99.51 | $89.91 | -$9.60 |
| Economic Condition | Leisure, Hospitality, or Entertainment Employment | -25694.1039 | 0.1089 | 0.1148 | -$2,798.27 | -$2,948.57 | -$150.30 |
| Economic Condition | Manufacturing Employment | -9564.1936 | 0.1045 | 0.1006 | -$999.65 | -$961.85 | $37.80 |
| Economic Condition | Natural Resources Employment | -46896.7014 | 0.0168 | 0.0186 | -$788.99 | -$874.12 | -$85.12 |
| Economic Condition | Other Services Employment | -50534.0263 | 0.0265 | 0.0283 | -$1,337.81 | -$1,429.13 | -$91.33 |
| Economic Condition | Professional and Business Services Employment | 51088.0143 | 0.0806 | 0.0850 | $4,118.11 | $4,340.50 | $222.39 |
| Economic Condition | Public Administration | -8146.5797 | 0.0644 | 0.0632 | -$524.75 | -$514.83 | $9.92 |
| Economic Condition | Unemployment Rate Not Seasonally Adjusted | -14562.3414 | 0.0409 | 0.0198 | -$594.99 | -$287.97 | $307.03 |
Employment Rate 4th Quarter after Exit
| Estimate0 (Pre-PY 2023 Predicted Outcome) | Estimate1 (Post-PY 2023 Predicted Outcome) | Adjustment Factor |
|---|---|---|
| 70.44% | 80.36% | 9.92% |
| Variable Type | Variable | Coefficient | PY Prior | PY Actual | Variable Estimate0 | Variable Estimate1 | Adjustment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Participant Characteristic | Age 14 to 15 | -0.0231 | 0.0046 | 0.0268 | -0.01% | -0.06% | -0.05% |
| Participant Characteristic | Age 16 to 17 | -0.0426 | 0.1096 | 0.2190 | -0.47% | -0.93% | -0.47% |
| Participant Characteristic | Age 18 to 19 | -0.1472 | 0.3858 | 0.3844 | -5.68% | -5.66% | 0.02% |
| Participant Characteristic | Age 20 to 21 | -0.2239 | 0.2420 | 0.1849 | -5.42% | -4.14% | 1.28% |
| Participant Characteristic | Female | -0.1083 | 0.5457 | 0.5012 | -5.91% | -5.43% | 0.48% |
| Participant Characteristic | Hispanic Ethnicity | 0.0091 | 0.0639 | 0.1338 | 0.06% | 0.12% | 0.06% |
| Participant Characteristic | Individual with a Disability | -0.0663 | 0.4224 | 0.4331 | -2.80% | -2.87% | -0.07% |
| Participant Characteristic | Race: American Indian | 0.0534 | 0.2671 | 0.2774 | 1.43% | 1.48% | 0.05% |
| Participant Characteristic | Race: Asian | -0.1290 | 0.0571 | 0.0487 | -0.74% | -0.63% | 0.11% |
| Participant Characteristic | Race: Black | -0.0724 | 0.1005 | 0.0852 | -0.73% | -0.62% | 0.11% |
| Participant Characteristic | Race: Hawaiian or Pacific Islander | -0.3240 | 0.0023 | 0.0024 | -0.07% | -0.08% | 0.00% |
| Participant Characteristic | Race: Multiple | 0.0035 | 0.0502 | 0.0852 | 0.02% | 0.03% | 0.01% |
| Participant Characteristic | Highest Grade Completed: Associate or Bachelor Degree | -0.2054 | 0.0274 | 0.0170 | -0.56% | -0.35% | 0.21% |
| Participant Characteristic | Highest Grade Completed: Certificate or Other Post-Secondary Degree | -0.2098 | 0.0046 | 0.0049 | -0.10% | -0.10% | -0.01% |
| Participant Characteristic | Highest Grade Completed: High School Equivalency | 0.1386 | 0.4041 | 0.2652 | 5.60% | 3.68% | -1.92% |
| Participant Characteristic | Highest Grade Completed: Some College | 0.2134 | 0.0525 | 0.0146 | 1.12% | 0.31% | -0.81% |
| Participant Characteristic | In School at Program Entry | 0.0746 | 0.1689 | 0.3285 | 1.26% | 2.45% | 1.19% |
| Participant Characteristic | Long-Term Unemployed at Program Entry | 0.0279 | 0.1918 | 0.1873 | 0.54% | 0.52% | -0.01% |
| Participant Characteristic | UI Claimant | 0.0199 | 0.0205 | 0.0365 | 0.04% | 0.07% | 0.03% |
| Participant Characteristic | Foster Care Youth | 0.1091 | 0.0479 | 0.0341 | 0.52% | 0.37% | -0.15% |
| Participant Characteristic | Homeless | -0.0910 | 0.1416 | 0.0681 | -1.29% | -0.62% | 0.67% |
| Participant Characteristic | Individual who was Incarcerated | -0.0644 | 0.2306 | 0.2457 | -1.48% | -1.58% | -0.10% |
| Participant Characteristic | Limited English Proficiency | -0.2294 | 0.0936 | 0.0608 | -2.15% | -1.40% | 0.75% |
| Participant Characteristic | Low Income | -0.0540 | 0.8995 | 0.8418 | -4.85% | -4.54% | 0.31% |
| Participant Characteristic | Skills/Literacy Deficient at Program Entry | 0.0374 | 0.6187 | 0.6034 | 2.31% | 2.25% | -0.06% |
| Participant Characteristic | Youth Needing Additional Assistance | 0.0007 | 0.2785 | 0.1630 | 0.02% | 0.01% | -0.01% |
| Participant Characteristic | Youth Parent or Pregnant Youth | -0.1002 | 0.2374 | 0.1411 | -2.38% | -1.41% | 0.97% |
| Participant Characteristic | Received Other Public Assistance | -0.0251 | 0.0023 | 0.0146 | -0.01% | -0.04% | -0.03% |
| Participant Characteristic | SSI or SSDI Recipient | -0.0190 | 0.0411 | 0.0243 | -0.08% | -0.05% | 0.03% |
| Participant Characteristic | TANF Recipient | 0.0917 | 0.1073 | 0.0219 | 0.98% | 0.20% | -0.78% |
| Participant Characteristic | Employed at Program Entry | 0.1855 | 0.2557 | 0.3771 | 4.74% | 7.00% | 2.25% |
| Participant Characteristic | Median Days in Program | 0.3940 | 0.9795 | 0.9513 | 38.59% | 37.48% | -1.11% |
| Economic Condition | Construction Employment | -0.1370 | 0.0568 | 0.0608 | -0.78% | -0.83% | -0.05% |
| Economic Condition | Educational or Health Care Employment | -3.7962 | 0.2559 | 0.2491 | -97.14% | -94.57% | 2.56% |
| Economic Condition | Financial Services Employment | -6.4933 | 0.0684 | 0.0630 | -44.43% | -40.89% | 3.54% |
| Economic Condition | Information Services Employment | -7.9522 | 0.0131 | 0.0120 | -10.41% | -9.52% | 0.90% |
| Economic Condition | Leisure, Hospitality, or Entertainment Employment | -3.0340 | 0.1089 | 0.1139 | -33.04% | -34.55% | -1.51% |
| Economic Condition | Manufacturing Employment | -3.7213 | 0.1045 | 0.1011 | -38.89% | -37.63% | 1.27% |
| Economic Condition | Natural Resources Employment | -4.7442 | 0.0168 | 0.0183 | -7.98% | -8.67% | -0.69% |
| Economic Condition | Other Services Employment | -1.2871 | 0.0265 | 0.0280 | -3.41% | -3.61% | -0.20% |
| Economic Condition | Professional and Business Services Employment | -3.3609 | 0.0806 | 0.0850 | -27.09% | -28.57% | -1.48% |
| Economic Condition | Public Administration | -1.2289 | 0.0644 | 0.0632 | -7.92% | -7.77% | 0.15% |
| Economic Condition | Unemployment Rate Not Seasonally Adjusted | -1.1885 | 0.0409 | 0.0200 | -4.86% | -2.38% | 2.48% |
Credential Attainment Rate
| Estimate0 (Pre-PY 2023 Predicted Outcome) | Estimate1 (Post-PY 2023 Predicted Outcome) | Adjustment Factor |
|---|---|---|
| 52.62% | 51.29% | -1.33% |
| Variable Type | Variable | Coefficient | PY Prior | PY Actual | Variable Estimate0 | Variable Estimate1 | Adjustment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Participant Characteristic | Age 14 to 15 | -0.5177 | 0.0123 | 0.0447 | -0.64% | -2.31% | -1.68% |
| Participant Characteristic | Age 16 to 17 | -0.0181 | 0.2407 | 0.2927 | -0.44% | -0.53% | -0.09% |
| Participant Characteristic | Age 18 to 19 | 0.0164 | 0.4630 | 0.4187 | 0.76% | 0.69% | -0.07% |
| Participant Characteristic | Age 20 to 21 | -0.1227 | 0.1728 | 0.1260 | -2.12% | -1.55% | 0.57% |
| Participant Characteristic | Female | 0.0086 | 0.4691 | 0.4797 | 0.41% | 0.41% | 0.01% |
| Participant Characteristic | Hispanic Ethnicity | -0.0568 | 0.0617 | 0.1463 | -0.35% | -0.83% | -0.48% |
| Participant Characteristic | Individual with a Disability | 0.0875 | 0.4630 | 0.4187 | 4.05% | 3.66% | -0.39% |
| Participant Characteristic | Race: American Indian | 0.0234 | 0.2593 | 0.3008 | 0.61% | 0.71% | 0.10% |
| Participant Characteristic | Race: Asian | 0.1491 | 0.0556 | 0.0203 | 0.83% | 0.30% | -0.53% |
| Participant Characteristic | Race: Black | -0.0516 | 0.0556 | 0.0813 | -0.29% | -0.42% | -0.13% |
| Participant Characteristic | Race: Hawaiian or Pacific Islander | 0.1552 | 0.0062 | 0.0041 | 0.10% | 0.06% | -0.03% |
| Participant Characteristic | Race: Multiple | 0.3637 | 0.0556 | 0.0732 | 2.02% | 2.66% | 0.64% |
| Participant Characteristic | Highest Grade Completed: Associate or Bachelor Degree | -0.6833 | 0.0062 | 0.0041 | -0.42% | -0.28% | 0.14% |
| Participant Characteristic | Highest Grade Completed: Certificate or Other Post-Secondary Degree | -0.5551 | 0.0000 | 0.0041 | 0.00% | -0.23% | -0.23% |
| Participant Characteristic | Highest Grade Completed: High School Equivalency | 0.1718 | 0.2037 | 0.0610 | 3.50% | 1.05% | -2.45% |
| Participant Characteristic | Highest Grade Completed: Some College | 0.1252 | 0.0247 | 0.0000 | 0.31% | 0.00% | -0.31% |
| Participant Characteristic | In School at Program Entry | 0.1085 | 0.4259 | 0.5041 | 4.62% | 5.47% | 0.85% |
| Participant Characteristic | Long-Term Unemployed at Program Entry | -0.0308 | 0.1975 | 0.1870 | -0.61% | -0.58% | 0.03% |
| Participant Characteristic | UI Claimant | 0.1059 | 0.0123 | 0.0122 | 0.13% | 0.13% | 0.00% |
| Participant Characteristic | Foster Care Youth | -0.1495 | 0.0432 | 0.0325 | -0.65% | -0.49% | 0.16% |
| Participant Characteristic | Homeless | 0.0158 | 0.0926 | 0.0447 | 0.15% | 0.07% | -0.08% |
| Participant Characteristic | Individual who was Incarcerated | -0.0412 | 0.1667 | 0.2236 | -0.69% | -0.92% | -0.23% |
| Participant Characteristic | Limited English Proficiency | 0.0906 | 0.0988 | 0.0285 | 0.90% | 0.26% | -0.64% |
| Participant Characteristic | Low Income | 0.0055 | 0.8704 | 0.8252 | 0.48% | 0.45% | -0.02% |
| Participant Characteristic | Skills/Literacy Deficient at Program Entry | -0.0013 | 0.6481 | 0.6870 | -0.09% | -0.09% | -0.01% |
| Participant Characteristic | Youth Needing Additional Assistance | 0.0415 | 0.3333 | 0.1341 | 1.38% | 0.56% | -0.83% |
| Participant Characteristic | Youth Parent or Pregnant Youth | -0.0423 | 0.1235 | 0.1098 | -0.52% | -0.46% | 0.06% |
| Participant Characteristic | Received Other Public Assistance | -0.0397 | 0.0000 | 0.0163 | 0.00% | -0.06% | -0.06% |
| Participant Characteristic | SSI or SSDI Recipient | 0.1605 | 0.0309 | 0.0285 | 0.50% | 0.46% | -0.04% |
| Participant Characteristic | TANF Recipient | -0.1887 | 0.0309 | 0.0122 | -0.58% | -0.23% | 0.35% |
| Participant Characteristic | Employed at Program Entry | 0.0160 | 0.3333 | 0.4553 | 0.53% | 0.73% | 0.19% |
| Participant Characteristic | Median Days in Program | 0.7467 | 0.9877 | 0.9553 | 73.74% | 71.33% | -2.42% |
| Economic Condition | Construction Employment | 6.2524 | 0.0568 | 0.0608 | 35.51% | 38.02% | 2.51% |
| Economic Condition | Educational or Health Care Employment | 1.1997 | 0.2559 | 0.2491 | 30.70% | 29.89% | -0.81% |
| Economic Condition | Financial Services Employment | -5.2745 | 0.0684 | 0.0630 | -36.09% | -33.22% | 2.87% |
| Economic Condition | Information Services Employment | -15.3819 | 0.0131 | 0.0120 | -20.15% | -18.41% | 1.74% |
| Economic Condition | Leisure, Hospitality, or Entertainment Employment | 1.0350 | 0.1089 | 0.1139 | 11.27% | 11.79% | 0.51% |
| Economic Condition | Manufacturing Employment | 0.7484 | 0.1045 | 0.1011 | 7.82% | 7.57% | -0.26% |
| Economic Condition | Natural Resources Employment | -2.6240 | 0.0168 | 0.0183 | -4.41% | -4.80% | -0.38% |
| Economic Condition | Other Services Employment | 5.6849 | 0.0265 | 0.0280 | 15.05% | 15.93% | 0.88% |
| Economic Condition | Professional and Business Services Employment | -1.6200 | 0.0806 | 0.0850 | -13.06% | -13.77% | -0.71% |
| Economic Condition | Public Administration | 3.0512 | 0.0644 | 0.0632 | 19.65% | 19.28% | -0.37% |
| Economic Condition | Unemployment Rate Not Seasonally Adjusted | -0.1330 | 0.0409 | 0.0200 | -0.54% | -0.27% | 0.28% |
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Wagner-Peyser
This is an overview of the assessment of PY 2023 WIOA performance results for South Dakota in the Wagner-Peyser program. The figure shows the relationship between the negotiated, adjusted, and actual levels of performance. The data table shows the effects of each variable in the statistical adjustment model.
Results
The figures below show details for the two performance indicators being assessed in PY 2023 in the Wagner-Peyser program.
- The negotiated level of performance is the agreed upon target level of performance for PY 2023 prior to the start of PY 2023.
- The adjusted level of performance is the result of re-calculating the negotiated level of performance once PY 2023 ends. It is calculated using model estimates, data on actual program participants in PY 2023, and data on actual economic conditions in which the participants were served.
- The adjustment factor is the total amount that the original negotiated level was adjusted.
- The actual level of performance shows the actual reported performance results for the indicator and includes the individual indicator score (i.e., the actual level divided by the adjusted level).
Model Data Tables
For each indicator, the tables below show the estimates for each of the variables in the statistical adjustment model and the related actual data. This data is used to determine the adjusted level of performance. The definitions of the table columns are as follows:
- Coefficient - the effect (or weight) of the variable.
- PY Prior - the actual data for each variable for this state in the last PY prior to negotiations.
- PY Actual - the actual data for each variable for this state in PY 2023.
- Estimate0 - the amount the variable contributed to the pre-PY 2023 predicted target for this indicator as used as a factor in negotiations. It is calculated by multiplying the Coefficient by the PY Prior.
- Estimate1 - the amount the variable contributed to the post-PY 2023 predicted target for this indicator using actual PY 2023 data. It is calculated by multiplying the Coefficient by the PY Actual.
- Adjustment - the amount the variable contributed to the adjustment factor for the indicator. It is calculated by subtracting Estimate0 from Estimate1.
Performance Indicator:
Employment Rate 2nd Quarter after Exit
| Estimate0 (Pre-PY 2023 Predicted Outcome) | Estimate1 (Post-PY 2023 Predicted Outcome) | Adjustment Factor |
|---|---|---|
| 64.12% | 71.28% | 7.16% |
| Variable Type | Variable | Coefficient | PY Prior | PY Actual | Variable Estimate0 | Variable Estimate1 | Adjustment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Participant Characteristic | Age 25 to 44 | -0.4433 | 0.4620 | 0.4298 | -20.48% | -19.05% | 1.43% |
| Participant Characteristic | Age 45 to 54 | -0.6515 | 0.1598 | 0.1542 | -10.41% | -10.04% | 0.37% |
| Participant Characteristic | Age 55 to 59 | -0.1964 | 0.0890 | 0.0841 | -1.75% | -1.65% | 0.10% |
| Participant Characteristic | Age 60 or more | -0.4627 | 0.1053 | 0.1184 | -4.87% | -5.48% | -0.60% |
| Participant Characteristic | Female | -0.0056 | 0.4894 | 0.4834 | -0.27% | -0.27% | 0.00% |
| Participant Characteristic | Hispanic Ethnicity | -0.0067 | 0.0661 | 0.0878 | -0.04% | -0.06% | -0.01% |
| Participant Characteristic | Individual with a Disability | 0.0259 | 0.1717 | 0.2599 | 0.44% | 0.67% | 0.23% |
| Participant Characteristic | Race: American Indian | -0.1330 | 0.2502 | 0.2130 | -3.33% | -2.83% | 0.50% |
| Participant Characteristic | Race: Asian | -0.1990 | 0.0219 | 0.0300 | -0.44% | -0.60% | -0.16% |
| Participant Characteristic | Race: Black | -0.1742 | 0.0923 | 0.0925 | -1.61% | -1.61% | 0.00% |
| Participant Characteristic | Race: Hawaiian or Pacific Islander | -2.5126 | 0.0035 | 0.0072 | -0.87% | -1.81% | -0.94% |
| Participant Characteristic | Race: Multiple | -0.2723 | 0.0227 | 0.0345 | -0.62% | -0.94% | -0.32% |
| Participant Characteristic | Veteran | 0.0678 | 0.0756 | 0.0866 | 0.51% | 0.59% | 0.07% |
| Participant Characteristic | Highest Grade Completed: Associate Degree | 0.0673 | 0.0680 | 0.0687 | 0.46% | 0.46% | 0.01% |
| Participant Characteristic | Highest Grade Completed: Bachelor Degree | -0.2666 | 0.0769 | 0.0899 | -2.05% | -2.40% | -0.35% |
| Participant Characteristic | Highest Grade Completed: Certificate or Other Post-Secondary Degree | 0.1124 | 0.0256 | 0.0385 | 0.29% | 0.43% | 0.14% |
| Participant Characteristic | Highest Grade Completed: Graduate Degree | -0.2262 | 0.0265 | 0.0274 | -0.60% | -0.62% | -0.02% |
| Participant Characteristic | Highest Grade Completed: High School Equivalency | 0.0927 | 0.4616 | 0.4267 | 4.28% | 3.95% | -0.32% |
| Participant Characteristic | Highest Grade Completed: Some College | -0.1108 | 0.1266 | 0.1191 | -1.40% | -1.32% | 0.08% |
| Participant Characteristic | In School at Program Entry | -0.0840 | 0.0453 | 0.0931 | -0.38% | -0.78% | -0.40% |
| Participant Characteristic | Long-Term Unemployed at Program Entry | 0.0185 | 0.0846 | 0.1400 | 0.16% | 0.26% | 0.10% |
| Participant Characteristic | UI Claimant | -0.0195 | 0.2453 | 0.2488 | -0.48% | -0.49% | -0.01% |
| Participant Characteristic | UI Exhaustee | -0.0224 | 0.0028 | 0.0025 | -0.01% | -0.01% | 0.00% |
| Participant Characteristic | Displaced Homemaker | -0.3170 | 0.0042 | 0.0088 | -0.13% | -0.28% | -0.14% |
| Participant Characteristic | Homeless | -0.0375 | 0.1213 | 0.1219 | -0.45% | -0.46% | 0.00% |
| Participant Characteristic | Individual who was Incarcerated | -0.0537 | 0.2112 | 0.2840 | -1.13% | -1.52% | -0.39% |
| Participant Characteristic | Limited English Proficiency | -0.1572 | 0.0109 | 0.0463 | -0.17% | -0.73% | -0.56% |
| Participant Characteristic | Low Income | -0.0029 | 0.4657 | 0.5488 | -0.13% | -0.16% | -0.02% |
| Participant Characteristic | Single Parent | 0.0739 | 0.1753 | 0.1855 | 1.30% | 1.37% | 0.08% |
| Participant Characteristic | Received Other Public Assistance | 0.8995 | 0.0004 | 0.0053 | 0.04% | 0.47% | 0.43% |
| Participant Characteristic | SSI or SSDI Recipient | -0.1186 | 0.0246 | 0.0370 | -0.29% | -0.44% | -0.15% |
| Participant Characteristic | TANF Recipient | -0.0553 | 0.0662 | 0.0524 | -0.37% | -0.29% | 0.08% |
| Participant Characteristic | Employed at Program Entry | 0.1873 | 0.1844 | 0.2241 | 3.45% | 4.20% | 0.74% |
| Participant Characteristic | Received Wages 2 Quarters Prior to Participation | 0.4125 | 0.6727 | 0.6734 | 27.75% | 27.78% | 0.03% |
| Participant Characteristic | Median Days in Program | 0.0221 | 0.4794 | 0.6087 | 1.06% | 1.35% | 0.29% |
| Economic Condition | Construction Employment | -1.6437 | 0.0568 | 0.0621 | -9.34% | -10.20% | -0.86% |
| Economic Condition | Educational or Health Care Employment | -2.2801 | 0.2559 | 0.2475 | -58.34% | -56.44% | 1.91% |
| Economic Condition | Financial Services Employment | -6.4005 | 0.0684 | 0.0625 | -43.79% | -39.99% | 3.80% |
| Economic Condition | Information Services Employment | 4.2771 | 0.0131 | 0.0118 | 5.60% | 5.06% | -0.54% |
| Economic Condition | Leisure, Hospitality, or Entertainment Employment | -1.3769 | 0.1089 | 0.1148 | -15.00% | -15.80% | -0.81% |
| Economic Condition | Manufacturing Employment | -2.6635 | 0.1045 | 0.1006 | -27.84% | -26.79% | 1.05% |
| Economic Condition | Natural Resources Employment | -1.8900 | 0.0168 | 0.0186 | -3.18% | -3.52% | -0.34% |
| Economic Condition | Other Services Employment | -4.4798 | 0.0265 | 0.0283 | -11.86% | -12.67% | -0.81% |
| Economic Condition | Professional and Business Services Employment | -2.0751 | 0.0806 | 0.0850 | -16.73% | -17.63% | -0.90% |
| Economic Condition | Public Administration | -2.7206 | 0.0644 | 0.0632 | -17.52% | -17.19% | 0.33% |
| Economic Condition | Unemployment Rate Not Seasonally Adjusted | -1.9279 | 0.0409 | 0.0198 | -7.88% | -3.81% | 4.06% |
Median Earnings 2nd Quarter after Exit
| Estimate0 (Pre-PY 2023 Predicted Outcome) | Estimate1 (Post-PY 2023 Predicted Outcome) | Adjustment Factor |
|---|---|---|
| $4,948.02 | $7,132.68 | $2,184.66 |
| Variable Type | Variable | Coefficient | PY Prior | PY Actual | Variable Estimate0 | Variable Estimate1 | Adjustment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Participant Characteristic | Age 25 to 44 | -104.7319 | 0.4642 | 0.4309 | -$48.62 | -$45.13 | $3.49 |
| Participant Characteristic | Age 45 to 54 | -4123.9425 | 0.1677 | 0.1662 | -$691.74 | -$685.23 | $6.51 |
| Participant Characteristic | Age 55 to 59 | -2656.3753 | 0.0939 | 0.0870 | -$249.30 | -$230.99 | $18.31 |
| Participant Characteristic | Age 60 or more | 3883.4838 | 0.0849 | 0.0964 | $329.71 | $374.26 | $44.55 |
| Participant Characteristic | Female | -2848.1887 | 0.4816 | 0.4821 | -$1,371.81 | -$1,373.22 | -$1.41 |
| Participant Characteristic | Hispanic Ethnicity | 1487.3600 | 0.0737 | 0.0914 | $109.56 | $135.93 | $26.37 |
| Participant Characteristic | Individual with a Disability | 1018.9298 | 0.1514 | 0.2321 | $154.31 | $236.46 | $82.15 |
| Participant Characteristic | Race: American Indian | -1771.8157 | 0.1932 | 0.1720 | -$342.33 | -$304.71 | $37.62 |
| Participant Characteristic | Race: Asian | -2340.6860 | 0.0255 | 0.0321 | -$59.62 | -$75.19 | -$15.57 |
| Participant Characteristic | Race: Black | -4246.3381 | 0.0980 | 0.0966 | -$416.06 | -$410.40 | $5.65 |
| Participant Characteristic | Race: Hawaiian or Pacific Islander | -386.1307 | 0.0039 | 0.0055 | -$1.51 | -$2.14 | -$0.63 |
| Participant Characteristic | Race: Multiple | 2335.5145 | 0.0211 | 0.0294 | $49.30 | $68.56 | $19.25 |
| Participant Characteristic | Veteran | 128.5398 | 0.0691 | 0.0775 | $8.88 | $9.97 | $1.09 |
| Participant Characteristic | Highest Grade Completed: Associate Degree | -259.2418 | 0.0716 | 0.0775 | -$18.56 | -$20.10 | -$1.54 |
| Participant Characteristic | Highest Grade Completed: Bachelor Degree | 25.9634 | 0.0863 | 0.0964 | $2.24 | $2.50 | $0.26 |
| Participant Characteristic | Highest Grade Completed: Certificate or Other Post-Secondary Degree | -10.1745 | 0.0285 | 0.0404 | -$0.29 | -$0.41 | -$0.12 |
| Participant Characteristic | Highest Grade Completed: Graduate Degree | -41.1476 | 0.0275 | 0.0282 | -$1.13 | -$1.16 | -$0.03 |
| Participant Characteristic | Highest Grade Completed: High School Equivalency | 493.6061 | 0.4642 | 0.4315 | $229.13 | $212.97 | -$16.16 |
| Participant Characteristic | Highest Grade Completed: Some College | 740.2339 | 0.1315 | 0.1188 | $97.33 | $87.94 | -$9.39 |
| Participant Characteristic | In School at Program Entry | 935.9718 | 0.0457 | 0.0919 | $42.74 | $86.05 | $43.32 |
| Participant Characteristic | Long-Term Unemployed at Program Entry | 506.6135 | 0.0539 | 0.1002 | $27.32 | $50.79 | $23.47 |
| Participant Characteristic | UI Claimant | -82.4331 | 0.2689 | 0.2794 | -$22.17 | -$23.03 | -$0.86 |
| Participant Characteristic | UI Exhaustee | -148.0391 | 0.0032 | 0.0017 | -$0.48 | -$0.25 | $0.23 |
| Participant Characteristic | Displaced Homemaker | -7367.3529 | 0.0044 | 0.0066 | -$32.12 | -$48.97 | -$16.85 |
| Participant Characteristic | Homeless | -6788.0889 | 0.0987 | 0.0994 | -$669.77 | -$674.86 | -$5.09 |
| Participant Characteristic | Individual who was Incarcerated | 2685.8727 | 0.1941 | 0.2639 | $521.40 | $708.84 | $187.45 |
| Participant Characteristic | Limited English Proficiency | -706.2325 | 0.0131 | 0.0510 | -$9.24 | -$35.99 | -$26.75 |
| Participant Characteristic | Low Income | 296.9781 | 0.4096 | 0.4963 | $121.64 | $147.38 | $25.74 |
| Participant Characteristic | Single Parent | 241.6719 | 0.1638 | 0.1695 | $39.59 | $40.96 | $1.36 |
| Participant Characteristic | Received Other Public Assistance | 2565.2446 | 0.0005 | 0.0042 | $1.18 | $10.66 | $9.48 |
| Participant Characteristic | SSI or SSDI Recipient | -2326.8151 | 0.0158 | 0.0249 | -$36.84 | -$57.99 | -$21.15 |
| Participant Characteristic | TANF Recipient | -5609.0581 | 0.0560 | 0.0426 | -$314.05 | -$239.21 | $74.83 |
| Participant Characteristic | Employed at Program Entry | 310.1098 | 0.2265 | 0.2692 | $70.23 | $83.47 | $13.24 |
| Participant Characteristic | Received Wages 2 Quarters Prior to Participation | -1611.2522 | 0.7715 | 0.7571 | -$1,243.01 | -$1,219.93 | $23.08 |
| Participant Characteristic | Wages 2 Quarters Prior to Participation | 0.6018 | 6168.3450 | 7609.5900 | $3,711.85 | $4,579.13 | $867.28 |
| Participant Characteristic | Median Days in Program | 171.6674 | 0.4853 | 0.6131 | $83.31 | $105.25 | $21.94 |
| Economic Condition | Construction Employment | -16398.9320 | 0.0568 | 0.0621 | -$931 | -$1,018 | -$86.24 |
| Economic Condition | Educational or Health Care Employment | -50531.5830 | 0.2559 | 0.2475 | -$12,930 | -$12,507 | $422.46 |
| Economic Condition | Financial Services Employment | -64887.2620 | 0.0684 | 0.0625 | -$4,440 | -$4,054 | $385.61 |
| Economic Condition | Information Services Employment | 19607.9238 | 0.0131 | 0.0118 | $257 | $232 | -$24.77 |
| Economic Condition | Leisure, Hospitality, or Entertainment Employment | -58578.0610 | 0.1089 | 0.1148 | -$6,380 | -$6,722 | -$342.65 |
| Economic Condition | Manufacturing Employment | -30919.2196 | 0.1045 | 0.1006 | -$3,232 | -$3,109 | $122.21 |
| Economic Condition | Natural Resources Employment | -40820.0500 | 0.0168 | 0.0186 | -$687 | -$761 | -$74.09 |
| Economic Condition | Other Services Employment | -101905.7431 | 0.0265 | 0.0283 | -$2,698 | -$2,882 | -$184.17 |
| Economic Condition | Professional and Business Services Employment | 16930.4401 | 0.0806 | 0.0850 | $1,365 | $1,438 | $73.70 |
| Economic Condition | Public Administration | -40446.0345 | 0.0644 | 0.0632 | -$2,605 | -$2,556 | $49.23 |
| Economic Condition | Unemployment Rate Not Seasonally Adjusted | -20028.2133 | 0.0409 | 0.0198 | -$818 | -$396 | $422.27 |
Employment Rate 4th Quarter after Exit
| Estimate0 (Pre-PY 2023 Predicted Outcome) | Estimate1 (Post-PY 2023 Predicted Outcome) | Adjustment Factor |
|---|---|---|
| 61.80% | 68.57% | 6.76% |
| Variable Type | Variable | Coefficient | PY Prior | PY Actual | Variable Estimate0 | Variable Estimate1 | Adjustment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Participant Characteristic | Age 25 to 44 | -0.4306 | 0.4623 | 0.4314 | -19.91% | -18.58% | 1.33% |
| Participant Characteristic | Age 45 to 54 | -0.5577 | 0.1617 | 0.1586 | -9.02% | -8.85% | 0.17% |
| Participant Characteristic | Age 55 to 59 | -0.2492 | 0.0859 | 0.0842 | -2.14% | -2.10% | 0.04% |
| Participant Characteristic | Age 60 or more | -0.4581 | 0.0981 | 0.1209 | -4.49% | -5.54% | -1.04% |
| Participant Characteristic | Female | 0.1458 | 0.4938 | 0.4980 | 7.20% | 7.26% | 0.06% |
| Participant Characteristic | Hispanic Ethnicity | 0.1600 | 0.0674 | 0.0836 | 1.08% | 1.34% | 0.26% |
| Participant Characteristic | Individual with a Disability | -0.0735 | 0.1583 | 0.2339 | -1.16% | -1.72% | -0.56% |
| Participant Characteristic | Race: American Indian | -0.3254 | 0.2501 | 0.2174 | -8.14% | -7.08% | 1.06% |
| Participant Characteristic | Race: Asian | -0.1571 | 0.0274 | 0.0388 | -0.43% | -0.61% | -0.18% |
| Participant Characteristic | Race: Black | -0.0316 | 0.0890 | 0.0972 | -0.28% | -0.31% | -0.03% |
| Participant Characteristic | Race: Hawaiian or Pacific Islander | -2.6380 | 0.0037 | 0.0065 | -0.97% | -1.72% | -0.75% |
| Participant Characteristic | Race: Multiple | 0.1628 | 0.0244 | 0.0334 | 0.40% | 0.54% | 0.15% |
| Participant Characteristic | Veteran | 0.0257 | 0.0684 | 0.0801 | 0.18% | 0.21% | 0.03% |
| Participant Characteristic | Highest Grade Completed: Associate Degree | -0.0988 | 0.0692 | 0.0690 | -0.68% | -0.68% | 0.00% |
| Participant Characteristic | Highest Grade Completed: Bachelor Degree | -0.2279 | 0.0766 | 0.0801 | -1.75% | -1.82% | -0.08% |
| Participant Characteristic | Highest Grade Completed: Certificate or Other Post-Secondary Degree | 0.3523 | 0.0233 | 0.0369 | 0.82% | 1.30% | 0.48% |
| Participant Characteristic | Highest Grade Completed: Graduate Degree | 0.5824 | 0.0227 | 0.0278 | 1.32% | 1.62% | 0.29% |
| Participant Characteristic | Highest Grade Completed: High School Equivalency | 0.0491 | 0.4637 | 0.4258 | 2.28% | 2.09% | -0.19% |
| Participant Characteristic | Highest Grade Completed: Some College | 0.0691 | 0.1297 | 0.1202 | 0.90% | 0.83% | -0.07% |
| Participant Characteristic | In School at Program Entry | -0.0025 | 0.0438 | 0.0888 | -0.01% | -0.02% | -0.01% |
| Participant Characteristic | Long-Term Unemployed at Program Entry | -0.0954 | 0.0745 | 0.1352 | -0.71% | -1.29% | -0.58% |
| Participant Characteristic | UI Claimant | 0.0113 | 0.2135 | 0.2370 | 0.24% | 0.27% | 0.03% |
| Participant Characteristic | UI Exhaustee | -0.0251 | 0.0027 | 0.0043 | -0.01% | -0.01% | 0.00% |
| Participant Characteristic | Displaced Homemaker | -0.4386 | 0.0045 | 0.0106 | -0.20% | -0.47% | -0.27% |
| Participant Characteristic | Homeless | -0.2010 | 0.1053 | 0.1137 | -2.12% | -2.29% | -0.17% |
| Participant Characteristic | Individual who was Incarcerated | -0.1615 | 0.1965 | 0.2489 | -3.17% | -4.02% | -0.85% |
| Participant Characteristic | Limited English Proficiency | -0.1268 | 0.0109 | 0.0551 | -0.14% | -0.70% | -0.56% |
| Participant Characteristic | Low Income | 0.0051 | 0.4289 | 0.5434 | 0.22% | 0.28% | 0.06% |
| Participant Characteristic | Single Parent | 0.2486 | 0.1551 | 0.1997 | 3.86% | 4.96% | 1.11% |
| Participant Characteristic | Received Other Public Assistance | 0.2771 | 0.0006 | 0.0065 | 0.02% | 0.18% | 0.17% |
| Participant Characteristic | SSI or SSDI Recipient | 0.3574 | 0.0245 | 0.0369 | 0.88% | 1.32% | 0.44% |
| Participant Characteristic | TANF Recipient | -0.3396 | 0.0623 | 0.0545 | -2.11% | -1.85% | 0.26% |
| Participant Characteristic | Employed at Program Entry | 0.0660 | 0.2069 | 0.2229 | 1.37% | 1.47% | 0.11% |
| Participant Characteristic | Received Wages 2 Quarters Prior to Participation | 0.1030 | 0.6720 | 0.6649 | 6.92% | 6.85% | -0.07% |
| Participant Characteristic | Median Days in Program | 0.0428 | 0.4482 | 0.5742 | 1.92% | 2.46% | 0.54% |
| Economic Condition | Construction Employment | -0.7403 | 0.0568 | 0.0608 | -4.20% | -4.50% | -0.30% |
| Economic Condition | Educational or Health Care Employment | -1.9029 | 0.2559 | 0.2491 | -48.69% | -47.41% | 1.28% |
| Economic Condition | Financial Services Employment | -3.8995 | 0.0684 | 0.0630 | -26.68% | -24.56% | 2.12% |
| Economic Condition | Information Services Employment | -0.0867 | 0.0131 | 0.0120 | -0.11% | -0.10% | 0.01% |
| Economic Condition | Leisure, Hospitality, or Entertainment Employment | -2.7050 | 0.1089 | 0.1139 | -29.46% | -30.81% | -1.35% |
| Economic Condition | Manufacturing Employment | -2.1214 | 0.1045 | 0.1011 | -22.17% | -21.45% | 0.72% |
| Economic Condition | Natural Resources Employment | -4.7756 | 0.0168 | 0.0183 | -8.03% | -8.73% | -0.70% |
| Economic Condition | Other Services Employment | -2.6281 | 0.0265 | 0.0280 | -6.96% | -7.37% | -0.41% |
| Economic Condition | Professional and Business Services Employment | -3.4107 | 0.0806 | 0.0850 | -27.49% | -29.00% | -1.50% |
| Economic Condition | Public Administration | -2.1044 | 0.0644 | 0.0632 | -13.56% | -13.30% | 0.25% |
| Economic Condition | Unemployment Rate Not Seasonally Adjusted | -2.6028 | 0.0409 | 0.0200 | -10.63% | -5.20% | 5.43% |
Vocational Rehabilitation
This is an overview of the assessment of PY 2023 WIOA performance results for South Dakota in the Vocational Rehabilitation program. The figure shows the relationship between the negotiated, adjusted, and actual levels of performance. The data table shows the effects of each variable in the statistical adjustment model.
Results
The figures below show details for the two performance indicators being assessed in PY 2023 in the Vocational Rehabilitation program.
- The negotiated level of performance is the agreed upon target level of performance for PY 2023 prior to the start of PY 2023.
- The adjusted level of performance is the result of re-calculating the negotiated level of performance once PY 2023 ends. It is calculated using model estimates, data on actual program participants in PY 2023, and data on actual economic conditions in which the participants were served.
- The adjustment factor is the total amount that the original negotiated level was adjusted.
- The actual level of performance shows the actual reported performance results for the indicator and includes the individual indicator score (i.e., the actual level divided by the adjusted level).
Model Data Tables
For each indicator, the tables below show the estimates for each of the variables in the statistical adjustment model and the related actual data. This data is used to determine the adjusted level of performance. The definitions of the table columns are as follows:
- Coefficient - the effect (or weight) of the variable.
- PY Prior - the actual data for each variable for this state in the last PY prior to negotiations.
- PY Actual - the actual data for each variable for this state in PY 2023.
- Estimate0 - the amount the variable contributed to the pre-PY 2023 predicted target for this indicator as used as a factor in negotiations. It is calculated by multiplying the Coefficient by the PY Prior.
- Estimate1 - the amount the variable contributed to the post-PY 2023 predicted target for this indicator using actual PY 2023 data. It is calculated by multiplying the Coefficient by the PY Actual.
- Adjustment - the amount the variable contributed to the adjustment factor for the indicator. It is calculated by subtracting Estimate0 from Estimate1.
Performance Indicator:
Employment Rate 2nd Quarter after Exit
| Estimate0 (Pre-PY 2023 Predicted Outcome) | Estimate1 (Post-PY 2023 Predicted Outcome) | Adjustment Factor |
|---|---|---|
| 53.13% | 60.11% | 6.98% |
| Variable Type | Variable | Coefficient | PY Prior | PY Actual | Variable Estimate0 | Variable Estimate1 | Adjustment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Participant Characteristic | Age 16 to 18 | 0.4042 | 0.2327 | 0.2814 | 9.40% | 11.37% | 1.97% |
| Participant Characteristic | Age 19 to 24 | 0.6797 | 0.1409 | 0.1294 | 9.58% | 8.80% | -0.78% |
| Participant Characteristic | Age 25 to 44 | 0.5013 | 0.2923 | 0.2887 | 14.65% | 14.47% | -0.18% |
| Participant Characteristic | Age 45 to 54 | 0.1300 | 0.1603 | 0.1376 | 2.08% | 1.79% | -0.30% |
| Participant Characteristic | Age 55 to 59 | -0.1119 | 0.0977 | 0.0652 | -1.09% | -0.73% | 0.36% |
| Participant Characteristic | Age 60 or more | -0.0944 | 0.0694 | 0.0769 | -0.65% | -0.73% | -0.07% |
| Participant Characteristic | Female | -0.1025 | 0.4355 | 0.4172 | -4.46% | -4.27% | 0.19% |
| Participant Characteristic | Hispanic Ethnicity | -0.1754 | 0.0298 | 0.0362 | -0.52% | -0.64% | -0.11% |
| Participant Characteristic | Individual with Auditory and/or Communicative Disability | 0.2892 | 0.0358 | 0.0208 | 1.04% | 0.60% | -0.43% |
| Participant Characteristic | Individual with Intellectual and/or Learning Disability | 0.2306 | 0.3855 | 0.4109 | 8.89% | 9.47% | 0.58% |
| Participant Characteristic | Individual with Physical Disability | 0.2254 | 0.1402 | 0.1511 | 3.16% | 3.41% | 0.25% |
| Participant Characteristic | Individual with Psychosocial and/or Psychological Disability | 0.0618 | 0.3192 | 0.3195 | 1.97% | 1.97% | 0.00% |
| Participant Characteristic | Individual with a significant disability | 0.0115 | 0.0962 | 0.0661 | 0.11% | 0.08% | -0.03% |
| Participant Characteristic | Individual with most significant disablility | 0.0796 | 0.8963 | 0.9276 | 7.14% | 7.39% | 0.25% |
| Participant Characteristic | Public Assistance Recipient | -0.0339 | 0.4131 | 0.3891 | -1.40% | -1.32% | 0.08% |
| Participant Characteristic | Race: Asian | 0.1884 | 0.0119 | 0.0109 | 0.22% | 0.20% | -0.02% |
| Participant Characteristic | Race: Black | -0.0008 | 0.0477 | 0.0462 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Participant Characteristic | Race: Caucasian | 0.1704 | 0.8188 | 0.8036 | 13.95% | 13.69% | -0.26% |
| Participant Characteristic | Race: Hawaiian or Pacific Islander | 0.4075 | 0.0030 | 0.0081 | 0.12% | 0.33% | 0.21% |
| Participant Characteristic | Race: Multiple | 0.1554 | 0.0306 | 0.0362 | 0.48% | 0.56% | 0.09% |
| Participant Characteristic | Veteran | 0.0865 | 0.0343 | 0.0208 | 0.30% | 0.18% | -0.12% |
| Participant Characteristic | Highest Grade Completed: Associate Degree | 0.0342 | 0.0681 | 0.0915 | 0.23% | 0.31% | 0.08% |
| Participant Characteristic | Highest Grade Completed: Bachelor Degree | 0.2551 | 0.0681 | 0.1052 | 1.74% | 2.68% | 0.95% |
| Participant Characteristic | Highest Grade Completed: Graduate Degree | 0.4584 | 0.0091 | 0.0229 | 0.42% | 1.05% | 0.63% |
| Participant Characteristic | Highest Grade Completed: High School Equivalency | -0.0023 | 0.4405 | 0.1311 | -0.10% | -0.03% | 0.07% |
| Participant Characteristic | Highest Grade Completed: Some College | 0.0331 | 0.0127 | 0.0168 | 0.04% | 0.06% | 0.01% |
| Participant Characteristic | Highest Grade Completed: Special Education Certificate/Completion (No HS diploma) | 0.0010 | 0.0327 | 0.0793 | 0.00% | 0.01% | 0.00% |
| Participant Characteristic | Long-Term Unemployed at Program Entry | -0.0266 | 0.2088 | 0.1620 | -0.56% | -0.43% | 0.12% |
| Participant Characteristic | Displaced Homemaker | 0.2579 | 0.0037 | 0.0000 | 0.10% | 0.00% | -0.10% |
| Participant Characteristic | Foster Care Youth | -0.0932 | 0.0089 | 0.0045 | -0.08% | -0.04% | 0.04% |
| Participant Characteristic | Homeless | -0.0240 | 0.0395 | 0.0326 | -0.09% | -0.08% | 0.02% |
| Participant Characteristic | Individual who was Incarcerated | 0.0729 | 0.1283 | 0.0760 | 0.93% | 0.55% | -0.38% |
| Participant Characteristic | Limited English Proficiency | -0.0986 | 0.2483 | 0.1647 | -2.45% | -1.62% | 0.82% |
| Participant Characteristic | Low Income | -0.0258 | 0.4519 | 0.3131 | -1.17% | -0.81% | 0.36% |
| Participant Characteristic | Migrant and Seasonal Farmworkers | -0.0533 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Participant Characteristic | Single Parent | 0.1482 | 0.0552 | 0.0362 | 0.82% | 0.54% | -0.28% |
| Participant Characteristic | TANF Recipient | 0.0161 | 0.0089 | 0.0027 | 0.01% | 0.00% | -0.01% |
| Participant Characteristic | Employed at Program Entry | 0.6880 | 0.2170 | 0.2100 | 14.93% | 14.44% | -0.48% |
| Economic Condition | Construction Employment | -3.2892 | 0.0587 | 0.0593 | -19.31% | -19.50% | -0.19% |
| Economic Condition | Educational or Health Care Employment | -2.9970 | 0.2578 | 0.2530 | -77.26% | -75.83% | 1.42% |
| Economic Condition | Financial Services Employment | -4.1829 | 0.0684 | 0.0628 | -28.62% | -26.26% | 2.36% |
| Economic Condition | Information Services Employment | -3.1233 | 0.0126 | 0.0118 | -3.93% | -3.70% | 0.23% |
| Economic Condition | Leisure, Hospitality, or Entertainment Employment | -1.6737 | 0.1029 | 0.1115 | -17.22% | -18.66% | -1.44% |
| Economic Condition | Manufacturing Employment | -2.6071 | 0.1036 | 0.1014 | -27.02% | -26.44% | 0.58% |
| Economic Condition | Natural Resources Employment | -3.5162 | 0.0171 | 0.0184 | -6.03% | -6.47% | -0.45% |
| Economic Condition | Other Services Employment | -2.3432 | 0.0266 | 0.0281 | -6.24% | -6.59% | -0.34% |
| Economic Condition | Professional and Business Services Employment | -0.8447 | 0.0810 | 0.0852 | -6.84% | -7.20% | -0.35% |
| Economic Condition | Public Administration | -3.9130 | 0.0656 | 0.0626 | -25.66% | -24.48% | 1.18% |
| Economic Condition | Trade, Transportation, and Utilities Employment | -4.5056 | 0.2056 | 0.2059 | -92.63% | -92.76% | -0.13% |
| Economic Condition | Unemployment Rate Not Seasonally Adjusted | -0.2589 | 0.0422 | 0.0203 | -1.09% | -0.53% | 0.57% |
Median Earnings 2nd Quarter after Exit
| Estimate0 (Pre-PY 2023 Predicted Outcome) | Estimate1 (Post-PY 2023 Predicted Outcome) | Adjustment Factor |
|---|---|---|
| $3,088.30 | $3,993.27 | $904.96 |
| Variable Type | Variable | Coefficient | PY Prior | PY Actual | Variable Estimate0 | Variable Estimate1 | Adjustment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Participant Characteristic | Age 16 to 18 | -6792.5547 | 0.2440 | 0.2814 | -$1,657.19 | -$1,911.75 | -$254.56 |
| Participant Characteristic | Age 19 to 24 | -8863.5793 | 0.1447 | 0.1294 | -$1,282.39 | -$1,147.05 | $135.34 |
| Participant Characteristic | Age 25 to 44 | -9460.4957 | 0.3262 | 0.2887 | -$3,086.40 | -$2,731.13 | $355.27 |
| Participant Characteristic | Age 45 to 54 | -10794.5486 | 0.1603 | 0.1376 | -$1,730.19 | -$1,484.86 | $245.33 |
| Participant Characteristic | Age 55 to 59 | -7603.4889 | 0.0709 | 0.0652 | -$539.25 | -$495.43 | $43.82 |
| Participant Characteristic | Age 60 or more | -10029.1378 | 0.0525 | 0.0769 | -$526.35 | -$771.47 | -$245.12 |
| Participant Characteristic | Female | -1880.2233 | 0.4411 | 0.4172 | -$829.43 | -$784.42 | $45.01 |
| Participant Characteristic | Hispanic Ethnicity | 3794.8126 | 0.0270 | 0.0362 | $102.27 | $137.37 | $35.10 |
| Participant Characteristic | Individual with Auditory and/or Communicative Disability | 3607.0668 | 0.0468 | 0.0208 | $168.84 | $75.08 | -$93.76 |
| Participant Characteristic | Individual with Intellectual and/or Learning Disability | -1135.1557 | 0.4043 | 0.4109 | -$458.89 | -$466.39 | -$7.50 |
| Participant Characteristic | Individual with Physical Disability | 979.4008 | 0.1248 | 0.1511 | $122.25 | $148.02 | $25.77 |
| Participant Characteristic | Individual with Psychosocial and/or Psychological Disability | 1723.8109 | 0.3050 | 0.3195 | $525.70 | $550.68 | $24.98 |
| Participant Characteristic | Individual with a significant disability | 423.2635 | 0.1092 | 0.0661 | $46.23 | $27.96 | -$18.27 |
| Participant Characteristic | Individual with most significant disablility | 377.8910 | 0.8837 | 0.9276 | $333.94 | $350.53 | $16.59 |
| Participant Characteristic | Public Assistance Recipient | -863.0475 | 0.3872 | 0.3891 | -$334.20 | -$335.85 | -$1.65 |
| Participant Characteristic | Race: Asian | 951.3121 | 0.0113 | 0.0109 | $10.80 | $10.33 | -$0.46 |
| Participant Characteristic | Race: Black | -1825.5561 | 0.0440 | 0.0462 | -$80.27 | -$84.26 | -$3.98 |
| Participant Characteristic | Race: Caucasian | -2483.1625 | 0.8411 | 0.8036 | -$2,088.67 | -$1,995.52 | $93.16 |
| Participant Characteristic | Race: Hawaiian or Pacific Islander | -3321.3356 | 0.0028 | 0.0081 | -$9.42 | -$27.05 | -$17.63 |
| Participant Characteristic | Race: Multiple | -190.5838 | 0.0340 | 0.0362 | -$6.49 | -$6.90 | -$0.41 |
| Participant Characteristic | Veteran | 227.9444 | 0.0312 | 0.0208 | $7.11 | $4.74 | -$2.37 |
| Participant Characteristic | Highest Grade Completed: Associate Degree | 2932.6209 | 0.0714 | 0.0915 | $209.47 | $268.23 | $58.75 |
| Participant Characteristic | Highest Grade Completed: Bachelor Degree | 3682.2172 | 0.0784 | 0.1052 | $288.68 | $387.31 | $98.63 |
| Participant Characteristic | Highest Grade Completed: Graduate Degree | 6311.0512 | 0.0070 | 0.0229 | $43.98 | $144.31 | $100.33 |
| Participant Characteristic | Highest Grade Completed: High School Equivalency | -13.9443 | 0.4495 | 0.1311 | -$6.27 | -$1.83 | $4.44 |
| Participant Characteristic | Highest Grade Completed: Some College | 1751.7123 | 0.0139 | 0.0168 | $24.41 | $29.37 | $4.96 |
| Participant Characteristic | Highest Grade Completed: Special Education Certificate/Completion (No HS diploma) | -1156.6734 | 0.0244 | 0.0793 | -$28.21 | -$91.69 | -$63.48 |
| Participant Characteristic | Long-Term Unemployed at Program Entry | -730.2385 | 0.1461 | 0.1620 | -$106.69 | -$118.29 | -$11.60 |
| Participant Characteristic | Displaced Homemaker | 557.0949 | 0.0028 | 0.0000 | $1.58 | $0.00 | -$1.58 |
| Participant Characteristic | Foster Care Youth | -1917.2602 | 0.0043 | 0.0045 | -$8.16 | -$8.68 | -$0.52 |
| Participant Characteristic | Homeless | -381.5210 | 0.0270 | 0.0326 | -$10.28 | -$12.43 | -$2.15 |
| Participant Characteristic | Individual who was Incarcerated | -71.5956 | 0.1078 | 0.0760 | -$7.72 | -$5.44 | $2.28 |
| Participant Characteristic | Limited English Proficiency | -208.0029 | 0.2624 | 0.1647 | -$54.58 | -$34.26 | $20.32 |
| Participant Characteristic | Low Income | -168.2065 | 0.4028 | 0.3131 | -$67.76 | -$52.67 | $15.09 |
| Participant Characteristic | Migrant and Seasonal Farmworkers | 194.6966 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Participant Characteristic | Single Parent | -203.1164 | 0.0553 | 0.0362 | -$11.24 | -$7.35 | $3.88 |
| Participant Characteristic | TANF Recipient | -32.1689 | 0.0099 | 0.0027 | -$0.32 | -$0.09 | $0.23 |
| Participant Characteristic | Employed at Program Entry | 3345.5562 | 0.2837 | 0.2100 | $949.09 | $702.42 | -$246.68 |
| Economic Condition | Construction Employment | -28467.5993 | 0.0587 | 0.0593 | -$1,672 | -$1,688 | -$16.44 |
| Economic Condition | Educational or Health Care Employment | -64308.9734 | 0.2578 | 0.2530 | -$16,578 | -$16,272 | $305.38 |
| Economic Condition | Financial Services Employment | -102415.9204 | 0.0684 | 0.0628 | -$7,007 | -$6,429 | $578.05 |
| Economic Condition | Information Services Employment | -33910.5163 | 0.0126 | 0.0118 | -$426 | -$401 | $24.96 |
| Economic Condition | Leisure, Hospitality, or Entertainment Employment | -78966.3966 | 0.1029 | 0.1115 | -$8,125 | -$8,803 | -$678.62 |
| Economic Condition | Manufacturing Employment | -67323.9142 | 0.1036 | 0.1014 | -$6,977 | -$6,827 | $150.02 |
| Economic Condition | Natural Resources Employment | -73197.0275 | 0.0171 | 0.0184 | -$1,255 | -$1,348 | -$92.72 |
| Economic Condition | Other Services Employment | -110382.9522 | 0.0267 | 0.0281 | -$2,942 | -$3,104 | -$162.06 |
| Economic Condition | Professional and Business Services Employment | -19698.4048 | 0.0810 | 0.0852 | -$1,596 | -$1,678 | -$82.25 |
| Economic Condition | Public Administration | -92593.7884 | 0.0656 | 0.0626 | -$6,073 | -$5,793 | $279.50 |
| Economic Condition | Trade, Transportation, and Utilities Employment | -41728.1944 | 0.2056 | 0.2059 | -$8,579 | -$8,591 | -$12.28 |
| Economic Condition | Unemployment Rate Not Seasonally Adjusted | -11573.7382 | 0.0422 | 0.0203 | -$489 | -$235 | $253.83 |
Employment Rate 4th Quarter after Exit
| Estimate0 (Pre-PY 2023 Predicted Outcome) | Estimate1 (Post-PY 2023 Predicted Outcome) | Adjustment Factor |
|---|---|---|
| 48.78% | 52.86% | 4.08% |
| Variable Type | Variable | Coefficient | PY Prior | PY Actual | Variable Estimate0 | Variable Estimate1 | Adjustment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Participant Characteristic | Age 16 to 18 | 0.4530 | 0.2150 | 0.2822 | 9.74% | 12.78% | 3.04% |
| Participant Characteristic | Age 19 to 24 | 0.4924 | 0.1406 | 0.1411 | 6.92% | 6.95% | 0.02% |
| Participant Characteristic | Age 25 to 44 | 0.5737 | 0.3020 | 0.2863 | 17.33% | 16.43% | -0.90% |
| Participant Characteristic | Age 45 to 54 | 0.3300 | 0.1696 | 0.1286 | 5.60% | 4.24% | -1.35% |
| Participant Characteristic | Age 55 to 59 | 0.2599 | 0.0965 | 0.0788 | 2.51% | 2.05% | -0.46% |
| Participant Characteristic | Age 60 or more | -0.0684 | 0.0712 | 0.0639 | -0.49% | -0.44% | 0.05% |
| Participant Characteristic | Female | 0.0088 | 0.4300 | 0.4218 | 0.38% | 0.37% | -0.01% |
| Participant Characteristic | Hispanic Ethnicity | -0.0674 | 0.0303 | 0.0415 | -0.20% | -0.28% | -0.08% |
| Participant Characteristic | Individual with Auditory and/or Communicative Disability | 0.1094 | 0.0372 | 0.0307 | 0.41% | 0.34% | -0.07% |
| Participant Characteristic | Individual with Intellectual and/or Learning Disability | 0.0688 | 0.3903 | 0.4199 | 2.68% | 2.89% | 0.20% |
| Participant Characteristic | Individual with Physical Disability | 0.0116 | 0.1602 | 0.1610 | 0.19% | 0.19% | 0.00% |
| Participant Characteristic | Individual with Psychosocial and/or Psychological Disability | -0.0789 | 0.3020 | 0.2954 | -2.38% | -2.33% | 0.05% |
| Participant Characteristic | Individual with a significant disability | -0.1498 | 0.0946 | 0.0772 | -1.42% | -1.16% | 0.26% |
| Participant Characteristic | Individual with most significant disablility | -0.0071 | 0.9016 | 0.9162 | -0.64% | -0.65% | -0.01% |
| Participant Characteristic | Public Assistance Recipient | -0.1872 | 0.4250 | 0.4174 | -7.96% | -7.81% | 0.14% |
| Participant Characteristic | Race: Asian | 0.4038 | 0.0151 | 0.0133 | 0.61% | 0.54% | -0.07% |
| Participant Characteristic | Race: Black | -0.4589 | 0.0404 | 0.0440 | -1.85% | -2.02% | -0.17% |
| Participant Characteristic | Race: Caucasian | -0.2202 | 0.8266 | 0.8141 | -18.20% | -17.93% | 0.28% |
| Participant Characteristic | Race: Hawaiian or Pacific Islander | -0.1025 | 0.0050 | 0.0066 | -0.05% | -0.07% | -0.02% |
| Participant Characteristic | Race: Multiple | -0.0983 | 0.0397 | 0.0365 | -0.39% | -0.36% | 0.03% |
| Participant Characteristic | Veteran | 0.0326 | 0.0404 | 0.0207 | 0.13% | 0.07% | -0.06% |
| Participant Characteristic | Highest Grade Completed: Associate Degree | -0.1821 | 0.0673 | 0.0922 | -1.22% | -1.68% | -0.45% |
| Participant Characteristic | Highest Grade Completed: Bachelor Degree | 0.2242 | 0.0746 | 0.1121 | 1.67% | 2.51% | 0.84% |
| Participant Characteristic | Highest Grade Completed: Graduate Degree | 0.0055 | 0.0133 | 0.0170 | 0.01% | 0.01% | 0.00% |
| Participant Characteristic | Highest Grade Completed: High School Equivalency | -0.0285 | 0.4472 | 0.1206 | -1.28% | -0.34% | 0.93% |
| Participant Characteristic | Highest Grade Completed: Some College | -0.0442 | 0.0140 | 0.0199 | -0.06% | -0.09% | -0.03% |
| Participant Characteristic | Highest Grade Completed: Special Education Certificate/Completion (No HS diploma) | 0.0184 | 0.0347 | 0.0865 | 0.06% | 0.16% | 0.10% |
| Participant Characteristic | Long-Term Unemployed at Program Entry | -0.0034 | 0.2245 | 0.1751 | -0.08% | -0.06% | 0.02% |
| Participant Characteristic | Displaced Homemaker | -0.0848 | 0.0032 | 0.0025 | -0.03% | -0.02% | 0.01% |
| Participant Characteristic | Foster Care Youth | -0.0318 | 0.0088 | 0.0017 | -0.03% | -0.01% | 0.02% |
| Participant Characteristic | Homeless | -0.1431 | 0.0303 | 0.0274 | -0.43% | -0.39% | 0.04% |
| Participant Characteristic | Individual who was Incarcerated | 0.2163 | 0.1280 | 0.0639 | 2.77% | 1.38% | -1.39% |
| Participant Characteristic | Limited English Proficiency | -0.0815 | 0.2705 | 0.1776 | -2.20% | -1.45% | 0.76% |
| Participant Characteristic | Low Income | -0.0399 | 0.4943 | 0.3220 | -1.97% | -1.29% | 0.69% |
| Participant Characteristic | Migrant and Seasonal Farmworkers | -0.0093 | 0.0006 | 0.0000 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Participant Characteristic | Single Parent | 0.1853 | 0.0643 | 0.0423 | 1.19% | 0.78% | -0.41% |
| Participant Characteristic | TANF Recipient | 0.0119 | 0.0082 | 0.0050 | 0.01% | 0.01% | 0.00% |
| Participant Characteristic | Employed at Program Entry | 0.4979 | 0.2219 | 0.2066 | 11.05% | 10.29% | -0.76% |
| Economic Condition | Construction Employment | 2.1832 | 0.0587 | 0.0593 | 12.82% | 12.94% | 0.13% |
| Economic Condition | Educational or Health Care Employment | 1.1263 | 0.2578 | 0.2530 | 29.03% | 28.50% | -0.53% |
| Economic Condition | Financial Services Employment | 1.0113 | 0.0684 | 0.0628 | 6.92% | 6.35% | -0.57% |
| Economic Condition | Information Services Employment | -2.1072 | 0.0126 | 0.0118 | -2.65% | -2.49% | 0.16% |
| Economic Condition | Leisure, Hospitality, or Entertainment Employment | 1.9019 | 0.1029 | 0.1115 | 19.57% | 21.20% | 1.63% |
| Economic Condition | Manufacturing Employment | 0.6712 | 0.1036 | 0.1014 | 6.96% | 6.81% | -0.15% |
| Economic Condition | Natural Resources Employment | -0.4221 | 0.0171 | 0.0184 | -0.72% | -0.78% | -0.05% |
| Economic Condition | Other Services Employment | 2.7871 | 0.0267 | 0.0281 | 7.43% | 7.84% | 0.41% |
| Economic Condition | Professional and Business Services Employment | 2.7076 | 0.0810 | 0.0852 | 21.93% | 23.06% | 1.13% |
| Economic Condition | Public Administration | 0.3000 | 0.0656 | 0.0626 | 1.97% | 1.88% | -0.09% |
| Economic Condition | Trade, Transportation, and Utilities Employment | 0.1732 | 0.2056 | 0.2059 | 3.56% | 3.57% | 0.01% |
| Economic Condition | Unemployment Rate Not Seasonally Adjusted | -0.3543 | 0.0422 | 0.0203 | -1.50% | -0.72% | 0.78% |
Credential Attainment Rate
| Estimate0 (Pre-PY 2023 Predicted Outcome) | Estimate1 (Post-PY 2023 Predicted Outcome) | Adjustment Factor |
|---|---|---|
| 32.28% | 36.01% | 3.73% |
| Variable Type | Variable | Coefficient | PY Prior | PY Actual | Variable Estimate0 | Variable Estimate1 | Adjustment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Participant Characteristic | Age 16 to 18 | 0.7135 | 0.2150 | 0.2822 | 15.34% | 20.13% | 4.79% |
| Participant Characteristic | Age 19 to 24 | 0.4510 | 0.1406 | 0.1411 | 6.34% | 6.36% | 0.02% |
| Participant Characteristic | Age 25 to 44 | 0.5399 | 0.3020 | 0.2863 | 16.31% | 15.46% | -0.85% |
| Participant Characteristic | Age 45 to 54 | -0.0410 | 0.1696 | 0.1286 | -0.70% | -0.53% | 0.17% |
| Participant Characteristic | Age 55 to 59 | -0.2523 | 0.0965 | 0.0788 | -2.43% | -1.99% | 0.44% |
| Participant Characteristic | Age 60 or more | 0.2561 | 0.0712 | 0.0639 | 1.82% | 1.64% | -0.19% |
| Participant Characteristic | Female | -0.2779 | 0.4300 | 0.4218 | -11.95% | -11.72% | 0.23% |
| Participant Characteristic | Hispanic Ethnicity | -0.3106 | 0.0303 | 0.0415 | -0.94% | -1.29% | -0.35% |
| Participant Characteristic | Individual with Auditory and/or Communicative Disability | -0.1537 | 0.0372 | 0.0307 | -0.57% | -0.47% | 0.10% |
| Participant Characteristic | Individual with Intellectual and/or Learning Disability | 0.2938 | 0.3903 | 0.4199 | 11.47% | 12.34% | 0.87% |
| Participant Characteristic | Individual with Physical Disability | -0.1636 | 0.1602 | 0.1610 | -2.62% | -2.63% | -0.01% |
| Participant Characteristic | Individual with Psychosocial and/or Psychological Disability | 0.1711 | 0.3020 | 0.2954 | 5.17% | 5.05% | -0.11% |
| Participant Characteristic | Individual with a significant disability | -0.3525 | 0.0946 | 0.0772 | -3.33% | -2.72% | 0.61% |
| Participant Characteristic | Individual with most significant disablility | -0.1251 | 0.9016 | 0.9162 | -11.28% | -11.47% | -0.18% |
| Participant Characteristic | Public Assistance Recipient | 0.1800 | 0.4250 | 0.4174 | 7.65% | 7.51% | -0.14% |
| Participant Characteristic | Race: Asian | -0.9256 | 0.0151 | 0.0133 | -1.40% | -1.23% | 0.17% |
| Participant Characteristic | Race: Black | -0.4260 | 0.0404 | 0.0440 | -1.72% | -1.87% | -0.15% |
| Participant Characteristic | Race: Caucasian | -0.3292 | 0.8266 | 0.8141 | -27.22% | -26.80% | 0.41% |
| Participant Characteristic | Race: Hawaiian or Pacific Islander | 0.7092 | 0.0050 | 0.0066 | 0.36% | 0.47% | 0.11% |
| Participant Characteristic | Race: Multiple | 1.1957 | 0.0397 | 0.0365 | 4.75% | 4.37% | -0.38% |
| Participant Characteristic | Veteran | -0.0376 | 0.0404 | 0.0207 | -0.15% | -0.08% | 0.07% |
| Participant Characteristic | Highest Grade Completed: Associate Degree | 0.0209 | 0.0673 | 0.0922 | 0.14% | 0.19% | 0.05% |
| Participant Characteristic | Highest Grade Completed: Bachelor Degree | 0.3724 | 0.0746 | 0.1121 | 2.78% | 4.17% | 1.39% |
| Participant Characteristic | Highest Grade Completed: Graduate Degree | 0.2389 | 0.0133 | 0.0170 | 0.32% | 0.41% | 0.09% |
| Participant Characteristic | Highest Grade Completed: High School Equivalency | 0.0295 | 0.4472 | 0.1206 | 1.32% | 0.36% | -0.96% |
| Participant Characteristic | Highest Grade Completed: Some College | 0.1418 | 0.0140 | 0.0199 | 0.20% | 0.28% | 0.08% |
| Participant Characteristic | Highest Grade Completed: Special Education Certificate/Completion (No HS diploma) | 0.0525 | 0.0347 | 0.0865 | 0.18% | 0.45% | 0.27% |
| Participant Characteristic | Long-Term Unemployed at Program Entry | -0.0562 | 0.2245 | 0.1751 | -1.26% | -0.98% | 0.28% |
| Participant Characteristic | Displaced Homemaker | -0.3983 | 0.0032 | 0.0025 | -0.13% | -0.10% | 0.03% |
| Participant Characteristic | Foster Care Youth | 1.1690 | 0.0088 | 0.0017 | 1.03% | 0.19% | -0.84% |
| Participant Characteristic | Homeless | -0.0527 | 0.0303 | 0.0274 | -0.16% | -0.14% | 0.02% |
| Participant Characteristic | Individual who was Incarcerated | 0.3640 | 0.1280 | 0.0639 | 4.66% | 2.33% | -2.33% |
| Participant Characteristic | Limited English Proficiency | -0.0330 | 0.2705 | 0.1776 | -0.89% | -0.59% | 0.31% |
| Participant Characteristic | Low Income | -0.1445 | 0.4943 | 0.3220 | -7.14% | -4.65% | 2.49% |
| Participant Characteristic | Migrant and Seasonal Farmworkers | -0.0025 | 0.0006 | 0.0000 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Participant Characteristic | Single Parent | -0.1420 | 0.0643 | 0.0423 | -0.91% | -0.60% | 0.31% |
| Participant Characteristic | TANF Recipient | 0.0106 | 0.0082 | 0.0050 | 0.01% | 0.01% | 0.00% |
| Participant Characteristic | Employed at Program Entry | 1.1283 | 0.2219 | 0.2066 | 25.04% | 23.31% | -1.73% |
| Economic Condition | Construction Employment | -10.4920 | 0.0587 | 0.0593 | -61.61% | -62.21% | -0.61% |
| Economic Condition | Educational or Health Care Employment | -14.0787 | 0.2578 | 0.2530 | -362.93% | -356.24% | 6.69% |
| Economic Condition | Financial Services Employment | -9.1648 | 0.0684 | 0.0628 | -62.71% | -57.53% | 5.17% |
| Economic Condition | Information Services Employment | -3.8167 | 0.0126 | 0.0118 | -4.80% | -4.52% | 0.28% |
| Economic Condition | Leisure, Hospitality, or Entertainment Employment | -15.6295 | 0.1029 | 0.1115 | -160.81% | -174.24% | -13.43% |
| Economic Condition | Manufacturing Employment | -13.7267 | 0.1036 | 0.1014 | -142.25% | -139.19% | 3.06% |
| Economic Condition | Natural Resources Employment | -20.9461 | 0.0171 | 0.0184 | -35.91% | -38.57% | -2.65% |
| Economic Condition | Other Services Employment | -22.4693 | 0.0266 | 0.0281 | -59.88% | -63.18% | -3.30% |
| Economic Condition | Professional and Business Services Employment | -9.1607 | 0.0810 | 0.0852 | -74.21% | -78.03% | -3.83% |
| Economic Condition | Public Administration | -14.6882 | 0.0656 | 0.0626 | -96.34% | -91.90% | 4.43% |
| Economic Condition | Trade, Transportation, and Utilities Employment | -11.5071 | 0.2056 | 0.2059 | -236.58% | -236.92% | -0.34% |
| Economic Condition | Unemployment Rate Not Seasonally Adjusted | -1.4412 | 0.0422 | 0.0203 | -6.08% | -2.92% | 3.16% |