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Remarks as Prepared
Remarks to the City Club of Chicagos Public
Policy Luncheon Forum The Drake Hotel Chicago, Illinois April 15,
2003
Thank you, Jay [D. Doherty, President of the City Club] for that
gracious welcome and introduction.
Its great to be here today
and to have the opportunity to
speak before one of Americas great civic forums. I feel strong ties to
Chicago because Cam Findlaythe Deputy Secretary of Laborwas born
and raised here. And the Director of the Labor Departments Womens
Bureau, Shinae Chun, is the former Director of the Illinois Department of Labor
and spent much of her career in Chicago. Theyve told me about the
crusading spirit of this Club, which helped make Chicago one of the premier
cities in America. Congratulations on a century of leadership and
achievement!
So much attention these dayseven on Tax Dayis focused on the
war overseas. And it should be. Many young Americans have risked their lives to
end a brutal dictatorship in Iraq and to make the world safe from terrorism and
weapons of mass destruction. Its hard not to burst with pride over the
magnificent performance of our men and women in uniform!
But I also want you to know that President George W. Bush is as focused
on our economic security, as he is on protecting our national security.
He understands they are the twin pillars of our nations
strength.
We must ensure that our young peopleparticularly those coming back
from defending liberty overseasface bright futures. And the basis of a
bright future is a good education and a good job.
Thats why Id like to talk to you today about the need to
enact the Presidents jobs and growth plan.
As leaders from every sector of this community, you know the challenges
were facing. Although were in the second year of a recovery, the
economy is still not performing as well as it should. Business investment is
lagging. Jobs are not being created fast enough. And the stock market
hasnt fully recovered.
Thats why its more important than ever before for the
Congress to enact the Presidents stimulus plan. It will jump-start the
economy by pumping billions of dollars into the private economy over the next
two years. And the vehicle to deliver that economic jolt is an across the board
tax cut for every American taxpayer.
The philosophy behind the Administrations approach to economic
stimulus is straightforward.It acknowledges that the cumulative effect of
millions of consumers making economic decisions is what drives the American
economy.
The President stated that clearly, when he unveiled his stimulus
packageright here in Chicago last January. He noted that consumer spending
accounts for 70 % of our economy. Without robust consumer confidence and
spending, businesses cannot grow. If they dont grow, new jobs are not
created.
By putting more money into the pockets of every American family, the
Presidents plan revs up the engine that powers our economic growth and
creates new jobs. At the same time, it delivers critical short-term
assistancethrough extended unemployment benefits and personal
reemployment accountsto those having the most difficulty finding
work.
Here are just a few examples of the plans immediate impact on the
economy in Illinois:
- By eliminating the marriage penalty, 1.5 million Illinois married
couples would see a significant savings on tax day, every year.
- By increasing the child tax credit, 1.1 million Illinois families
would receive an additional $400 per child to spend or save annually.
- And by tripling the equipment expense limit, 1 million Illinois small
business owners will receive an average $2,042 to invest this year.
This last feature is particularly important because small businesses
create one half of all news jobs in this country.
Just to bring the point home that the Presidents package will help
everyone, consider this. By stimulating overall economic growth
in Illinois, the Presidents plan will increase Illinois state tax
revenues by about $138 million in 2003 and $250 million in 2004.
The Presidents tax cuts make so much sense that Congress has
already approved some of thembut with a hitch. They wont take
effect for years!
For the sake of Americas workers and their families, we need the
stimulus effect of the Presidents entire package of tax cutsright
now. And they need to be retroactive, so that working families will start
receiving checks before the year is over.
A big part of the stimulus effect of the Presidents plan is his
proposal to eliminate the double taxation on dividend income. Unfortunately,
this is one of the least understood provisions of his package. Thats a
shame, because this proposal alone is responsible for more than 40 percent of
the 1.4 million new jobs the Presidents plan would create over the next
18 months. Thats560,000 new jobs for American workers!
The President explained the rationale behind this proposal during a
recent trip to Florida. He noted that the double taxation of dividends takes
money out of the capital markets. It robs the economy of resources that would
otherwise be invested in businesses, so they can grow and create new jobs.
Thats particularly important to the Mid-West, where lagging business
investment is contributing to the downturn in manufacturing employment.
In addition, the double taxation of dividends deprives senior
citizensmany of whom rely upon dividend incomeof extra resources in
retirement. An estimated 1.5 million taxpayers in Illinoismany of them
seniorswould benefit if this provision of the Presidents plan were
enacted.
And eliminating the double taxation of dividend income would also have a
positive effect on corporate governance. It would reduce the bias in the tax
code that encourages corporations to focus on earnings per share, which can be
manipulated, rather than dividends, which are concrete, quantifiable and real.
As the President has said, you can fudge earnings, but you cant fudge
cash!
The case for the Presidents stimulus package grows stronger each
day.
As the most recent Business Roundtable survey indicates, many employers
are holding off on new business investment because they lack faith that robust
consumer spending will continue.
Even as we make progress in fighting terrorism, our economy is still
suffering the economic aftershocks of the September 11 attacks. The retail and
restaurant sectors lost jobs in February and March. Eating and drinking
establishments suffered because Americans cut back on business and leisure
travel. Since the attacks of September 11, the United States has lost a total
of 1.6 million jobs. We cant let this continue.
With the Presidents stimulus plan, I believe we can turn this
around.
The favorable resolution of the war in Iraq will help by taking some of
the uncertainty out of the markets.
As our world becomes safer and the summer vacation season approaches,
more Americans will be traveling. This should have a positive impact on jobs in
the transportation, hospitality and restaurant sectors.
Historically low interest rates have sustained the boom in home
ownership. And mortgage refinancing has put additional income into the pockets
of many American families, which is shoring up the economy.
In fact, consumer optimism about the economy is on the rise. Last
Friday, the University of Michigans Index of Consumer Sentiment rose to
83.2 percent, from 77.6 percent. That is far better than expected.
But to ensure that the economy recovery continues, we must
ensure that consumption remains robust. That means enacting the
Presidents jobs and growth package.
Recently, the size of the tax cut in the Presidents package has
been in the news. But the number I focus on is the number of jobs the
Presidents package will create. A reduction in the size of the tax cut
means a reduction in the number of new jobs created. Thats why the
President remains committed to the key elements of his plan, as
originally proposed.
Tax cuts are a proven strategy to achieve economic growth. President Bush
faced three quarters of negative economic growth when he came into office. But
passage of his 2001 tax cuts helped make the recession he inherited one of the
shallowest in recent history.
Tax cuts worked then and they will work now, because the fundamental
principles of the American economy have not changed.
As the President has said many times, we talk a lot about numbers in
Washington.
But we must never forget that behind each number is a person.
One person out of work is one person too many.
We will never be satisfied until every American who wants a job can find
a job.
Thats the promise of the American dream. And my job as Secretary
of Labor is to help the President bring this promise to every willing
heart.
But positive change needs willing allies and an aggressive plan of
actionjust like the one this Administration put into place in Iraq. The
Presidents jobs and growth package is realistic and principled. Its
the right plan to win the battle for our economic security. And its the
right plan to secure more jobs for Illinois working families. I hope you
will join me in supporting it.
Thank you.
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